Kelvin Gastelum vs Joe Pyfer

Jun 7, 2025 · PPV

DateJun 7, 2025

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenuePrudential Center

BroadcastPPV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, June 7, 2025 — watch on PPV.

US East (ET): Sat 10:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 7:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 3:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 4:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 12:00 PM
Your time

Kelvin Gastelum20-11-0Kelvin Gastelum vs Joe PyferJoe PyferBodybagz |16-3-0

Kelvin Gastelum20-11-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

20-11-0Record16-3-0

34Age30

5'9"Height6'1"

71"Reach75"

185 lbsWeight185 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Joe PyferBodybagz16-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Joe Pyfer owns a 70-point Elo edge (great). Joe Pyfer shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Kelvin Gastelum and Joe Pyfer across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Kelvin GastelumJoe Pyfer

Recent form

Kelvin GastelumL W L W L · -16 Elo last 5

LWLWL

Joe PyferW W W W W · +86 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Kelvin Gastelum1693-14 last move

Joe Pyfer1763+21 last move

Why they are ranked here

Kelvin Gastelum#65 of 254 active Middleweight fighters · 1693 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Chris Curtis (rated 1748 at the time): +19.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jared Cannonier (rated 1665 at the time): -18.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -16 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #64 Jared Cannonier, 1 ahead of #66 Carlos Petruzzella.

Joe Pyfer#15 of 254 active Middleweight fighters · 1763 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Gerald Meerschaert (rated 1716 at the time): +24.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jack Hermansson (rated 1755 at the time): -13.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +86 Elo in total.
Next places: 5 points behind #14 Christian Leroy Duncan, 2 ahead of #16 Israel Adesanya.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Kelvin GastelumNow 1693 · #65 Middleweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1707

Loses by decision-10→ 1683

Joe PyferNow 1763 · #15 Middleweight

Wins by decision+13→ 1776

Loses by decision-19→ 1744

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Kelvin GastelumvsJoe Pyfer

Takedown accuracy

13%vs0%

Submission average

0.09vs0.91

Takedown average

1.04vs1.45

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

3.52vs3.22

Finishing profile

Kelvin Gastelumdecision leads 45% of wins

Joe PyferKO/TKO leads 63% of wins

Common opponents

Israel Adesanya Kelvin Gastelum: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Apr 13, 2019 Joe Pyfer: win · TKO (punches) · Mar 28, 2026

Jack HermanssonKelvin Gastelum: loss · Submission (Heel Hook) · Jul 18, 2020Joe Pyfer: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Feb 10, 2024

Dustin Stoltzfus Kelvin Gastelum: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Sep 13, 2025Joe Pyfer: loss · TKO (elbow injury) · Aug 11, 2020

Tale of the tape

Kelvin GastelumJoe Pyfer

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.65Sig. strikes landed per min3.52

UFC middleweight average : 3.94

42Sig. strike accuracy44

UFC middleweight average : 48%

3.52Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.22

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

57Sig. strike defense53

UFC middleweight average : 52%

1.04Takedown average1.45

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

13Takedown accuracy0

UFC middleweight average : 30%

60Takedown defense63

UFC middleweight average : 59%

0.09Submission average0.91

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

6Wins by knockout10

5Wins by submission4

9Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout1

4Losses by submission1

7Losses by decision1

Kelvin Gastelum vs Joe Pyfer is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC 316 : DVALISHVILI VS O'MALLEY 2. Kelvin Gastelum enters with a 20-11-0 record and Joe Pyfer enters with a 16-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.