Mario Bautista vs Patchy Mix

Jun 7, 2025 · PPV

DateJun 7, 2025

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenuePrudential Center

BroadcastPPV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, June 7, 2025 — watch on PPV.

US East (ET): Sat 10:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 7:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 3:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 4:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 12:00 PM
Your time

Mario Bautista18-3-0Mario Bautista vs Patchy MixPatchy MixNo Love |20-5-0

Mario Bautista18-3-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

18-3-0Record20-5-0

33Age33

5'9"Height5'8"

69"Reach71"

135 lbsWeight135 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Patchy MixNo Love20-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Mario Bautista owns a 52-point Elo edge (great). Mario Bautista shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Mario Bautista and Patchy Mix across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Mario BautistaPatchy Mix

Recent form

Mario BautistaW W L W W · +51 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Patchy MixL L L L W · -72 Elo last 5

LLLLW

Elo edge

Mario Bautista1791+16 last move

Patchy Mix1739-20 last move

Why they are ranked here

Mario Bautista#6 of 336 active Bantamweight fighters · 1791 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Brian Kelleher (rated 1679 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Umar Nurmagomedov (rated 1795 at the time): -15.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +51 Elo in total.
Next places: 5 points behind #5 Farid Basharat, 7 ahead of #7 Daniel Marcos.

Patchy Mix#25 of 336 active Bantamweight fighters · 1739 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Sergio Pettis (rated 1766 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Kyoma Akimoto (rated 1692 at the time): -24.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -72 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #24 Javid Basharat, 1 ahead of #26 Juan Díaz.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Mario BautistaNow 1791 · #6 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1805

Loses by decision-18→ 1773

Patchy MixNow 1739 · #25 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1753

Loses by decision-10→ 1729

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Mario BautistavsPatchy Mix

Takedown accuracy

38%vs0%

Takedown defense

56%vs0%

Submission average

0.85vs0

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

3.98vs7.30

Finishing profile

Mario Bautistadecision leads 44% of wins

Patchy Mixsubmission leads 65% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Mario BautistaPatchy Mix

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.30Sig. strikes landed per min5.30

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

49Sig. strike accuracy44

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

3.98Sig. strikes absorbed per min7.30

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

55Sig. strike defense43

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

1.91Takedown average2.50

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

38Takedown accuracy0

UFC bantamweight average : 27%

56Takedown defense0

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

0.85Submission average0

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

3Wins by knockout2

7Wins by submission13

8Wins by decision5

1Losses by knockout1

1Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision4

Mario Bautista vs Patchy Mix is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC 316 : DVALISHVILI VS O'MALLEY 2. Mario Bautista enters with a 18-3-0 record and Patchy Mix enters with a 20-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.