Borja Garcia vs Ander Sanchez

Oct 24, 2026

Combat Edge model forecast51%Borja Garcia49%Ander SanchezFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 24, 2026

DivisionFlyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueBuesa Arena

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 24, 2026.

US East (ET): Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:00 AM
Your time

Borja Garcia7-2-0Borja Garcia vs Ander SanchezAnder SanchezEl Rey en el Norte |3-3-0

Borja Garcia7-2-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

7-2-0Record3-3-0

TBDAge31

TBDHeight5'7"

TBDReachTBD

TBDWeight125 lbs

FlyweightWeight ClassFlyweight

Ander SanchezEl Rey en el Norte3-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Borja Garcia owns a 90-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Borja Garcia and Ander Sanchez across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Borja GarciaAnder Sanchez

Recent form

Borja GarciaW W L W W · +57 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Ander SanchezL W L W L · -6 Elo last 5

LWLWL

Elo edge

Borja Garcia1611+18 last move

Ander Sanchez1521-21 last move

Why they are ranked here

Borja Garcia#186 of 343 active Bantamweight fighters · 1611 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Tital Sadoyan (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Ahmed El Idrissi (rated 1480 at the time): -27.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +57 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #185 Liam Gittins, 1 ahead of #187 Aleksandre Topuria.

Ander Sanchez#188 of 213 active Flyweight fighters · 1521 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Connor Wilson (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Davi Santos (rated 1582 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -6 Elo in total.
Next places: 3 points behind #187 Maximilien Vallot, 1 ahead of #189 Kayck Alencar.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

51%Borja Garcia49%Ander Sanchez

Model favoriteBorja Garcia

Elo baseline63% for Borja Garcia

Matchup adjustment-12 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Borja GarciaStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Borja Garcia leads the full model at 51%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 12 points.

Current Elo ratings1611 · 1521Borja Garcia leads by 90 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1505 · 1540Ander Sanchez faced the stronger recent schedule (9 vs 6 sampled fights).

Elo record depth9 · 6 fightsBorja Garcia has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Borja GarciaNow 1611 · #186 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+18→ 1629

Loses by decision-30→ 1581

Ander SanchezNow 1521 · #188 Flyweight

Wins by decision+30→ 1551

Loses by decision-18→ 1503

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Borja GarciavsAnder Sanchez

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Borja GarciaWin method split is limited

Ander SanchezKO/TKO leads 67% of wins

Common opponents

Davi SantosBorja Garcia: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jun 12, 2026Ander Sanchez: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Feb 15, 2025

Tale of the tape

Borja GarciaAnder Sanchez

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 27%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

0Wins by knockout2

0Wins by submission1

0Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision3

Borja Garcia vs Ander Sanchez is a scheduled Flyweight fight on WOW 33 : GARCIA VS SANCHEZ. Borja Garcia enters with a 7-2-0 record and Ander Sanchez enters with a 3-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.