Matt Frevola vs Lando Vannata

Nov 4, 2018 · ESPN+

DateNov 4, 2018

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMadison Square Garden

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, November 4, 2018 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Mon 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 1:00 PM
Your time

Matt FrevolaThe Steamrolla |11-6-1Matt Frevola vs Lando VannataLando VannataGroovy |12-8-2

Matt FrevolaThe Steamrolla11-6-1

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time05:00

11-6-1Record12-8-2

36Age34

5'9"Height5'9"

71"Reach71"

155 lbsWeight155 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Lando VannataGroovy12-8-2

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Matt Frevola owns a 65-point Elo edge (solid). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Matt Frevola and Lando Vannata across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Matt FrevolaLando Vannata

Recent form

Matt FrevolaL L L W W · -5 Elo last 5

LLLWW

Lando VannataL L L W L · -46 Elo last 5

LLLWL

Elo edge

Matt Frevola1637-15 last move

Lando Vannata1572-21 last move

Why they are ranked here

Matt Frevola#188 of 422 active Lightweight fighters · 1637 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Ottman Azaitar (rated 1733 at the time): +24.
Costliest loss: Lost to Terrance McKinney (rated 1609 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -5 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #187 Solomon Simon, 1 ahead of #189 Conor McCarthy.

Lando Vannata#303 of 422 active Lightweight fighters · 1572 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Mike Grundy (rated 1694 at the time): +17.
Costliest loss: Lost to Darrius Flowers (rated 1567 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -46 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #302 Kamuela Kirk, 1 ahead of #304 Anuj Anuj.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Matt FrevolaNow 1637 · #188 Lightweight

Wins by decision+13→ 1650

Loses by decision-19→ 1618

Lando VannataNow 1572 · #303 Lightweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1591

Loses by decision-13→ 1559

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Matt FrevolavsLando Vannata

Submission average

0.96vs0.30

Takedown average

2.39vs1.09

Takedown defense

36%vs69%

Sig. strikes landed per min

3.37vs4.52

Finishing profile

Matt FrevolaKO/TKO leads 36% of wins

Lando Vannatasubmission leads 42% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Matt FrevolaLando Vannata

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.37Sig. strikes landed per min4.52

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

41Sig. strike accuracy45

UFC lightweight average : 46%

3.69Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.76

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

57Sig. strike defense55

UFC lightweight average : 53%

2.39Takedown average1.09

UFC lightweight average : 1.68

39Takedown accuracy38

UFC lightweight average : 28%

36Takedown defense69

UFC lightweight average : 59%

0.96Submission average0.30

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

4Wins by knockout4

3Wins by submission5

4Wins by decision3

4Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission2

2Losses by decision5

Matt Frevola vs Lando Vannata is a scheduled Lightweight fight on UFC 230 : CORMIER VS LEWIS. Matt Frevola enters with a 11-6-1 record and Lando Vannata enters with a 12-8-2 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.