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UFC 186 : JOHNSON VS HORIGUCHI

Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs David Michaud

Apr 25, 2015 · ESPN+
DateApr 25, 2015
DivisionLightweight
StatusScheduled
VenueBell Centre
BroadcastESPN+
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, April 25, 2015 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET)
Sat 1:30 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 10:30 AM
United Kingdom
Sat 6:30 PM
Central Europe
Sat 7:30 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 3:30 AM
Olivier Aubin-MercierThe Canadian Gangster |21-5-0Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs David MichaudDavid MichaudBulldawg |18-6-0
caOlivier Aubin-MercierThe Canadian Gangster21-5-0Olivier Aubin-Mercierca

Fight Overview

RoundTBD
TimeTBD
21-5-0Record18-6-0
37Age37
5'9"Height5'9"
70,5"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
LightweightWeight ClassLightweight
usDavid MichaudBulldawg18-6-0usDavid Michaud
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Olivier Aubin-Mercier owns a 131-point Elo edge (great). David Michaud shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 2 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Olivier Aubin-Mercier and David Michaud across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Olivier Aubin-MercierDavid Michaud
16001650170017501800201820192020202120222023

Recent form

Olivier Aubin-MercierW W W W W · +56 Elo last 5
WWWWW
David MichaudL W W W L · +4 Elo last 5
LWWWL

Elo edge

Olivier Aubin-Mercier1794+8 last move
David Michaud1663-20 last move

Why they are ranked here

Olivier Aubin-MercierNot on the active ladder · 1794 Elo
Biggest gain
Beat Marcin Held (rated 1728 at the time): +19.
Last 5 fights
5 wins, 0 losses, +56 Elo in total.
Inactivity
Placed on 1744, not 1794: 50 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.
Activity
Not on the active ladder: no rated fight in the last 24 months.
David MichaudNot on the active ladder · 1663 Elo
Biggest gain
Beat Handesson Ferreira (rated 1617 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss
Lost to Ciro Rodrigues (rated 1478 at the time): -27.
Last 5 fights
3 wins, 2 losses, +4 Elo in total.
Inactivity
Placed on 1573, not 1663: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Olivier Aubin-MercierNow 1794
Wins by decision+8→ 1802
Loses by decision-16→ 1778
David MichaudNow 1663
Wins by decision+22→ 1685
Loses by decision-10→ 1653
What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Olivier Aubin-MerciervsDavid Michaud
Takedown accuracy
34%vs58%
Sig. strikes absorbed per min
2.97vs4.45
Sig. strikes landed per min
2.48vs3.25
Submission average
0.51vs0.72

Finishing profile

Olivier Aubin-Mercierdecision leads 43% of wins
David MichaudKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Tale of the tape

Olivier Aubin-MercierDavid Michaud

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.48Sig. strikes landed per min3.25
UFC lightweight average : 3.82
51Sig. strike accuracy43
UFC lightweight average : 46%
2.97Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.45
UFC lightweight average : 3.91
56Sig. strike defense54
UFC lightweight average : 53%
2.36Takedown average2.53
UFC lightweight average : 1.68
34Takedown accuracy58
UFC lightweight average : 28%
71Takedown defense77
UFC lightweight average : 59%
0.51Submission average0.72
UFC lightweight average : 0.50
4Wins by knockout9
8Wins by submission5
9Wins by decision4
0Losses by knockout3
0Losses by submission1
5Losses by decision2

Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs David Michaud is a scheduled Lightweight fight on UFC 186 : JOHNSON VS HORIGUCHI. Olivier Aubin-Mercier enters with a 21-5-0 record and David Michaud enters with a 18-6-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs David Michaud quick answers

When is Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs David Michaud?

Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs David Michaud is listed for UFC 186 : JOHNSON VS HORIGUCHI on Apr 25, 2015 at 1:30 PM CDT.

What event is Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs David Michaud on?

Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs David Michaud is listed on UFC 186 : JOHNSON VS HORIGUCHI.

What are the records for Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs David Michaud?

Olivier Aubin-Mercier enters with a 21-5-0 record and David Michaud enters with a 18-6-0 record.

What division is Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs David Michaud?

Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs David Michaud is listed as a Lightweight fight.

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