Rafael Montouro vs Lincon Santos

Nov 13, 2026 · VICE TV

Pick'em vs the modelWho wins this fight?Make your pick

DateNov 13, 2026

DivisionFlyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueGinásio do Polvilho

BroadcastVICE TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, November 13, 2026 — watch on VICE TV.

US East (ET): Fri 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sat 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 1:00 PM
Your time

Rafael MontouroRafinha |9-4-0Rafael Montouro vs Lincon SantosLincon Santos10-3-0

Rafael MontouroRafinha9-4-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

9-4-0Record10-3-0

28Age27

5'5"Height5'6"

TBDReachTBD

125 lbsWeight125 lbs

FlyweightWeight ClassFlyweight

Lincon Santos10-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Lincon Santos owns a 42-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Rafael Montouro and Lincon Santos across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Rafael MontouroLincon Santos

Recent form

Rafael MontouroW W L W W · +77 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Lincon SantosW L W W W · +46 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Elo edge

Rafael Montouro1586+15 last move

Lincon Santos1628+10 last move

Why they are ranked here

Rafael Montouro#140 of 232 active Flyweight fighters · 1586 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Eduardo Paz (rated 1500 at the time): +28.
Costliest loss: Lost to Altamiro de Jesus (rated 1500 at the time): -28.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +77 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #139 Felipe Bunes, 2 ahead of #141 Davi Santos.

Lincon Santos#91 of 232 active Flyweight fighters · 1628 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Marciano Ferreira (rated 1602 at the time): +32.
Costliest loss: Lost to Juscelino Pantoja (rated 1607 at the time): -29.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +46 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #90 Carlos Hernandez, 0 ahead of #92 Thiago Taveira.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Rafael MontouroNow 1586 · #140 Flyweight

Wins by decision+18→ 1604

Loses by decision-14→ 1572

Lincon SantosNow 1628 · #91 Flyweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1642

Loses by decision-18→ 1610

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Rafael MontourovsLincon Santos

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Rafael Montourosubmission leads 44% of wins

Lincon Santossubmission leads 40% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Rafael MontouroLincon Santos

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC flyweight average : 3.94

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC flyweight average : 44%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC flyweight average : 3.85

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC flyweight average : 55%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC flyweight average : 1.46

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC flyweight average : 25%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC flyweight average : 57%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC flyweight average : 0.63

2Wins by knockout2

4Wins by submission4

3Wins by decision4

0Losses by knockout2

0Losses by submission1

4Losses by decision0

Rafael Montouro vs Lincon Santos is a scheduled Flyweight fight on LFA 246 : ALVES VS VINUTO. Rafael Montouro enters with a 9-4-0 record and Lincon Santos enters with a 10-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.