Result
Rafael NatalKO/TKO
MethodKO/TKO
Round1
Time03:38
Elo swing+11Rafael Natal (1710 → 1721)-14Kevin Casey (1610 → 1595)
DateJan 31, 2016
DivisionMiddleweight
StatusCompleted
VenuePrudential Center
BroadcastESPN+
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W
Sapo | 21-9-1Rafael Natal
L
King | 9-6-2Kevin Casey
Rafael Natal vs Kevin Casey
Method :KO/TKO
Round :1
Time :03:38
Time format :Pending
Referee :Pending
Details :Pending
Rafael Natal
Elo1672Good
3Y trend1689 → 1672
Fight Overview
Round1
Time03:38
MethodKO/TKO
Kevin Casey
Elo1563Solid
3Y trend1610 → 1563
What changed?
Checked daily by Combat Edge. Times show when we recorded an update, not when it was announced.
Combat Edge Intelligence
Fight Intelligence
Rafael Natal won this fight by KO/TKO in round 1 at 03:38. Rafael Natal led more tracked fight-stat categories from the recorded round totals. Attempt-rate stats such as 1 of 4 takedowns require attempt fields from the legacy API before Combat Edge can calculate them accurately.
Compare Rafael Natal and Kevin Casey across their careers →Elo Recent career Elo trajectory
Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.
Rafael NatalKevin Casey
Elo edge
Rafael Natal1672-16 last move
Kevin Casey1563-18 last move
Why they are ranked here
Rafael NatalNot on the active ladder · 1672 Elo
- Biggest gain
- Beat Tor Troeng (rated 1664 at the time): +15.
- Costliest loss
- Lost to Tim Kennedy (rated 1750 at the time): -18.
- Last 5 fights
- 2 wins, 3 losses, -28 Elo in total.
- Inactivity
- Placed on 1582, not 1672: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.
Kevin CaseyNot on the active ladder · 1563 Elo
- Biggest gain
- Beat Casey Ryan (rated 1614 at the time): +30.
- Costliest loss
- Lost to Josh Samman (rated 1573 at the time): -28.
- Last 5 fights
- 0 wins, 3 losses, -47 Elo in total.
- Inactivity
- Placed on 1473, not 1563: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.
Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated
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Recorded fight totals
Rafael NatalvsKevin Casey
Total strikes
123vs30
Sig. strikes
54vs16
Takedowns
4vs0
Knockdowns
1vs0
Finishing profile
Rafael Nataldecision leads 43% of wins
Kevin CaseyKO/TKO leads 33% of wins
Common opponents
No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.
Round stats
Rafael Natal vs Kevin Casey is a completed Middleweight fight from UFC FIGHT NIGHT : JOHNSON VS BADER. Rafael Natal defeated Kevin Casey by KO/TKO in round 1 at 03:38. Combat Edge lists the result, records, fight stats, Elo context, and links to both fighter profiles.
Rafael Natal vs Kevin Casey quick answers
Who won Rafael Natal vs Kevin Casey?
Rafael Natal won Rafael Natal vs Kevin Casey by KO/TKO in round 1 at 03:38.
What event is Rafael Natal vs Kevin Casey on?
Rafael Natal vs Kevin Casey is listed on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : JOHNSON VS BADER.
What are the records for Rafael Natal vs Kevin Casey?
Rafael Natal enters with a 21-9-1 record and Kevin Casey enters with a 9-6-2 record.
What division is Rafael Natal vs Kevin Casey?
Rafael Natal vs Kevin Casey is listed as a Middleweight fight.
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