Richie Vaculik vs Justin Scoggins

Dec 7, 2013 · ESPN+

DateDec 7, 2013

DivisionFlyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueBrisbane Entertainment Centre

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, December 7, 2013 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 1:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 12:00 PM
Your time

Richie VaculikVas |10-5-0Richie Vaculik vs Justin ScogginsJustin ScogginsTank |15-7-0

Richie VaculikVas10-5-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time00:04:43

10-5-0Record15-7-0

43Age34

5'6"Height5'7"

41,0"Reach66,0"

125 lbsWeight125 lbs

FlyweightWeight ClassFlyweight

Justin ScogginsTank15-7-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Justin Scoggins owns a 42-point Elo edge (solid). Justin Scoggins shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Richie Vaculik and Justin Scoggins across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Richie VaculikJustin Scoggins

Recent form

Richie VaculikL L L W L · -66 Elo last 5

LLLWL

Justin ScogginsL W W W W · +29 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Elo edge

Richie Vaculik1576-22 last move

Justin Scoggins1618-19 last move

Why they are ranked here

Richie VaculikNot on the active ladder · 1576 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Glenn Taylor-Smith (rated 1500 at the time): +23.
Costliest loss: Lost to Nobuki Fujii (rated 1460 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -66 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1486, not 1576: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Justin ScogginsNot on the active ladder · 1618 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Josh Smith (rated 1518 at the time): +14.
Costliest loss: Lost to Ulka Sasaki (rated 1508 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +29 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1590, not 1618: 28 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Richie VaculikNow 1576

Wins by decision+18→ 1594

Loses by decision-14→ 1562

Justin ScogginsNow 1618

Wins by decision+14→ 1632

Loses by decision-18→ 1600

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Richie VaculikvsJustin Scoggins

Takedown defense

32%vs83%

Submission average

1vs0.45

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

4.09vs2.16

Takedown accuracy

45%vs64%

Finishing profile

Richie Vaculiksubmission leads 60% of wins

Justin ScogginsKO/TKO leads 47% of wins

Common opponents

Ray BorgRichie Vaculik: cancelled · Nov 7, 2014Justin Scoggins: win · Decision · Feb 6, 2016

Tale of the tape

Richie VaculikJustin Scoggins

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.69Sig. strikes landed per min3.56

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

47Sig. strike accuracy52

UFC flyweight average : 44%

4.09Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.16

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

57Sig. strike defense56

UFC flyweight average : 55%

3Takedown average3.42

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

45Takedown accuracy64

UFC flyweight average : 26%

32Takedown defense83

UFC flyweight average : 57%

1Submission average0.45

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

3Wins by knockout7

6Wins by submission2

1Wins by decision6

2Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission5

2Losses by decision2

Richie Vaculik vs Justin Scoggins is a scheduled Flyweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : HUNT VS BIGFOOT. Richie Vaculik enters with a 10-5-0 record and Justin Scoggins enters with a 15-7-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.