Robbie Lawler vs Rory MacDonald

Jul 11, 2015 · ESPN+

DateJul 11, 2015

DivisionWelterweight Title

StatusScheduled

VenueMGM Grand Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, July 11, 2015 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:00 AM
Your time

Robbie LawlerRuthless |30-16-0Robbie Lawler vs Rory MacDonaldRory MacDonaldRed King |23-10-1

Robbie LawlerRuthless30-16-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

30-16-0Record23-10-1

44Age37

5'11"Height6'0"

74"Reach76.00

170 lbsWeight170 lbs

Welterweight TitleWeight ClassWelterweight Title

Rory MacDonaldRed King23-10-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Robbie Lawler owns a 63-point Elo edge (great). Rory MacDonald shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Robbie Lawler and Rory MacDonald across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Robbie LawlerRory MacDonald

Recent form

Robbie LawlerW L W W L · +5 Elo last 5

WLWWL

Rory MacDonaldL L L W L · -57 Elo last 5

LLLWL

Elo edge

Robbie Lawler1788+11 last move

Rory MacDonald1725-18 last move

Why they are ranked here

Robbie LawlerNot on the active ladder · 1788 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Nick Diaz (rated 1781 at the time): +14.
Costliest loss: Lost to Bryan Barberena (rated 1667 at the time): -20.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +5 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1725, not 1788: 63 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Rory MacDonaldNot on the active ladder · 1725 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Paul Daley (rated 1731 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Dilano Taylor (rated 1655 at the time): -18.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -57 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1635, not 1725: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Robbie LawlerNow 1788

Wins by decision+10→ 1798

Loses by decision-14→ 1774

Rory MacDonaldNow 1725

Wins by decision+14→ 1739

Loses by decision-10→ 1715

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Robbie LawlervsRory MacDonald

Takedown average

0.65vs1.77

Submission average

0vs0.42

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

4.67vs2.80

Takedown defense

65%vs89%

Finishing profile

Robbie LawlerKO/TKO leads 73% of wins

Rory MacDonaldsubmission leads 39% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Robbie LawlerRory MacDonald

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.85Sig. strikes landed per min3.75

UFC welterweight average : 3.66

47Sig. strike accuracy42

UFC welterweight average : 46%

4.67Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.80

UFC welterweight average : 3.84

59Sig. strike defense62

UFC welterweight average : 53%

0.65Takedown average1.77

UFC welterweight average : 1.41

64Takedown accuracy48

UFC welterweight average : 30%

65Takedown defense89

UFC welterweight average : 59%

0Submission average0.42

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

22Wins by knockout7

1Wins by submission9

7Wins by decision7

4Losses by knockout4

5Losses by submission0

7Losses by decision6

Robbie Lawler vs Rory MacDonald is a scheduled Welterweight Title fight on UFC 189 : MENDES VS MCGREGOR. Robbie Lawler enters with a 30-16-0 record and Rory MacDonald enters with a 23-10-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.