Samba Sima vs Leopold Goi

Oct 24, 2026

Combat Edge model forecast48%Samba Sima52%Leopold GoiFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 24, 2026

DivisionHXMMA Flyweight Championship

StatusScheduled

VenueZénith Paris La Villette

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 24, 2026.

US East (ET): Sat 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:00 AM
Your time

Samba Sima4-0-0Samba Sima vs Leopold GoiLeopold GoiLeonidas |8-3-0

Samba Sima4-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

4-0-0Record8-3-0

TBDAge29

5'8"Height5'9"

-Reach-

125 lbsWeight125 lbs

HXMMA Flyweight ChampionshipWeight ClassHXMMA Flyweight Championship

Leopold GoiLeonidas8-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Samba Sima owns a 16-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Samba Sima and Leopold Goi across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Samba SimaLeopold Goi

Recent form

Samba SimaW W W W · +107 Elo last 4

WWWW

Leopold GoiL W W W L · +23 Elo last 5

LWWWL

Elo edge

Samba Sima1606+22 last move

Leopold Goi1590-26 last move

Why they are ranked here

Samba Sima#107 of 212 active Flyweight fighters · 1606 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Kleider Sandoval (rated 1571 at the time): +35.
Last 4 fights: 4 wins, 0 losses, +107 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #106 Ricardo Lemos, 2 ahead of #108 Brandon Bohannan.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1518 Elo over the last 4 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Leopold Goi#132 of 212 active Flyweight fighters · 1590 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Maximilien Vallot (rated 1570 at the time): +30.
Costliest loss: Lost to Moustapha Aida (rated 1500 at the time): -31.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +23 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #131 Ode Osbourne, 3 ahead of #133 Alibek Gadzhammatov.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

48%Samba Sima52%Leopold Goi

Model favoriteLeopold Goi

Elo baseline48% for Leopold Goi

Matchup adjustment+4 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Leopold GoiStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Leopold Goi is 52%, after Elo alone favored Samba Sima at 52%.

Current Elo ratings1606 · 1590Samba Sima leads by 16 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1518 · 1530Leopold Goi faced the stronger recent schedule (4 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth4 · 10 fightsLeopold Goi has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Samba SimaNow 1606 · #107 Flyweight

Wins by decision+23→ 1629

Loses by decision-25→ 1581

Leopold GoiNow 1590 · #132 Flyweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1607

Loses by decision-15→ 1575

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Samba SimavsLeopold Goi

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Samba SimaKO/TKO leads 100% of wins

Leopold Goisubmission leads 75% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Samba SimaLeopold Goi

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC flyweight average : 44%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC flyweight average : 55%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC flyweight average : 26%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC flyweight average : 57%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

4Wins by knockout1

0Wins by submission6

0Wins by decision1

0Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission1

0Losses by decision1

Samba Sima vs Leopold Goi is a scheduled HXMMA Flyweight Championship fight on HEXAGONE MMA 48 : SIMA VS GOI. Samba Sima enters with a 4-0-0 record and Leopold Goi enters with a 8-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.