Arnaud Prigent vs Ibrahim Diallo

Oct 24, 2026

Combat Edge model forecast58%Arnaud Prigent42%Ibrahim DialloFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 24, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueZénith Paris La Villette

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 24, 2026.

US East (ET): Sat 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:00 AM
Your time

Arnaud Prigent4-1-0Arnaud Prigent vs Ibrahim DialloIbrahim DialloShaolin |4-1-0

Arnaud Prigent4-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

4-1-0Record4-1-0

26Age38

TBDHeight5'10"

TBDReachTBD

145 lbsWeight145 lbs

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Ibrahim DialloShaolin4-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Ibrahim Diallo owns a 4-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Arnaud Prigent and Ibrahim Diallo across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Arnaud PrigentIbrahim Diallo

Recent form

Arnaud PrigentW L W W W · +62 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Ibrahim DialloL W W W W · +65 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Elo edge

Arnaud Prigent1562+20 last move

Ibrahim Diallo1566-26 last move

Why they are ranked here

Arnaud Prigent#304 of 402 active Featherweight fighters · 1562 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Jose-Angel Rebolledo (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Muhammad Abdulaev (rated 1500 at the time): -29.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +62 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #303 Antonino Amodeo, 1 ahead of #305 Connor Matthews.

Ibrahim Diallo#298 of 402 active Featherweight fighters · 1566 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Parwaiz Arabzai (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Pedro Martins (rated 1500 at the time): -26.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +65 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #297 Alexander Lööf, 1 ahead of #299 Eduardo Garagorri.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

58%Arnaud Prigent42%Ibrahim Diallo

Model favoriteArnaud Prigent

Elo baseline49% for Arnaud Prigent

Matchup adjustment+9 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Arnaud PrigentStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Arnaud Prigent is 58%, after Elo alone favored Ibrahim Diallo at 51%.

Current Elo ratings1562 · 1566Ibrahim Diallo leads by 4 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1474 · 1500Ibrahim Diallo faced the stronger recent schedule (5 vs 5 sampled fights).

Elo record depth5 · 5 fightsThe published ratings use the same number of counted fights.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Arnaud PrigentNow 1562 · #304 Featherweight

Wins by decision+24→ 1586

Loses by decision-24→ 1538

Ibrahim DialloNow 1566 · #298 Featherweight

Wins by decision+24→ 1590

Loses by decision-24→ 1542

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Arnaud PrigentvsIbrahim Diallo

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Arnaud Prigentsubmission leads 50% of wins

Ibrahim DialloKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Arnaud PrigentIbrahim Diallo

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.93

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.88

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 55%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

1Wins by knockout2

2Wins by submission0

1Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision1

Arnaud Prigent vs Ibrahim Diallo is a scheduled Featherweight fight on HEXAGONE MMA 48 : SIMA VS GOI. Arnaud Prigent enters with a 4-1-0 record and Ibrahim Diallo enters with a 4-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.