Rayan Balbali vs Youssouf Ouattara

Oct 24, 2026

Combat Edge model forecast41%Rayan Balbali59%Youssouf OuattaraFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 24, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueZénith Paris La Villette

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 24, 2026.

US East (ET): Sat 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:00 AM
Your time

Rayan BalbaliSplinter |2-0-0Rayan Balbali vs Youssouf OuattaraYoussouf Ouattara4-1-0

Rayan BalbaliSplinter2-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

2-0-0Record4-1-0

TBDAgeTBD

5'6"HeightTBD

TBDReachTBD

135 lbsWeight135 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Youssouf Ouattara4-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Rayan Balbali owns a 8-point Elo edge (average). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Rayan Balbali and Youssouf Ouattara across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Rayan BalbaliYoussouf Ouattara

Recent form

Rayan BalbaliW W · +46 Elo last 2

Youssouf OuattaraL W L W W · +14 Elo last 5

LWLWW

Elo edge

Rayan Balbali1546+22 last move

Youssouf Ouattara1538-29 last move

Why they are ranked here

Rayan Balbali#279 of 353 active Bantamweight fighters · 1546 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Melik Kocak (rated 1500 at the time): +24.
Last 2 fights: 2 wins, 0 losses, +46 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #278 Marcelo Reyes, 1 ahead of #280 Dauda Rajabu.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1528 Elo over the last 2 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Youssouf Ouattara#287 of 353 active Bantamweight fighters · 1538 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Farrukh Gafurov (rated 1500 at the time): +27.
Costliest loss: Lost to Anas Azizoun (rated 1559 at the time): -29.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +14 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #286 Albert Misikov, 2 ahead of #288 Ilie Meryacre.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

41%Rayan Balbali59%Youssouf Ouattara

Model favoriteYoussouf Ouattara

Elo baseline49% for Youssouf Ouattara

Matchup adjustment+10 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Youssouf OuattaraStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Youssouf Ouattara is 59%, after Elo alone favored Rayan Balbali at 51%.

Current Elo ratings1546 · 1538Rayan Balbali leads by 8 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1528 · 1500Rayan Balbali faced the stronger recent schedule (2 vs 6 sampled fights).

Elo record depth2 · 6 fightsYoussouf Ouattara has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Rayan BalbaliNow 1546 · #279 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+23→ 1569

Loses by decision-25→ 1521

Youssouf OuattaraNow 1538 · #287 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+25→ 1563

Loses by decision-23→ 1515

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Rayan BalbalivsYoussouf Ouattara

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Rayan Balbalidecision leads 100% of wins

Youssouf OuattaraKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Rayan BalbaliYoussouf Ouattara

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 27%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

0Wins by knockout2

0Wins by submission1

2Wins by decision1

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission1

0Losses by decision1

Rayan Balbali vs Youssouf Ouattara is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on HEXAGONE MMA 48 : SIMA VS GOI. Rayan Balbali enters with a 2-0-0 record and Youssouf Ouattara enters with a 4-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.