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ACA 209 : FROLOV VS ODILOV

Sayed Safarmamadov vs Ali Mashrapov

Oct 30, 2026 · ACA TV
Pick'em vs the modelWho wins this fight?Make your pick
DateOct 30, 2026
DivisionWelterweight
StatusScheduled
VenueTennis Arena
BroadcastACA TV
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 30, 2026 — watch on ACA TV.

US East (ET)
Fri 8:00 AM
US West (PT)
Fri 5:00 AM
United Kingdom
Fri 12:00 PM
Central Europe
Fri 1:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Fri 11:00 PM
Sayed SafarmamadovSwitch |4-3-0Sayed Safarmamadov vs Ali MashrapovAli Mashrapov17-15-0
tjSayed SafarmamadovSwitch4-3-0Sayed Safarmamadovtj

Fight Overview

RoundTBD
TimeTBD
4-3-0Record17-15-0
TBDAge35
TBDHeight5'8"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight172 lbs
WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight
kgAli Mashrapov17-15-0kgAli Mashrapov
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Sayed Safarmamadov owns a 24-point Elo edge (average). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Sayed Safarmamadov and Ali Mashrapov across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Sayed SafarmamadovAli Mashrapov
150015502023202420252026

Recent form

Sayed SafarmamadovW L L W W · +25 Elo last 5
WLLWW
Ali MashrapovL W W L L · -19 Elo last 5
LWWLL

Elo edge

Sayed Safarmamadov1527+29 last move
Ali Mashrapov1503-11 last move

Why they are ranked here

Sayed SafarmamadovNot on the active ladder · 1527 Elo
Biggest gain
Beat Gilani Dadaev (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss
Lost to Evgeny Tabarovsky (rated 1480 at the time): -29.
Last 5 fights
3 wins, 2 losses, +25 Elo in total.
Inactivity
Placed on 1475, not 1527: 52 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.
Ali Mashrapov#265 of 285 active Middleweight fighters · 1503 Elo
Biggest gain
Beat Ahmed Meshref (rated 1500 at the time): +19.
Costliest loss
Lost to Bekzhan Matysaev (rated 1481 at the time): -20.
Last 5 fights
2 wins, 3 losses, -19 Elo in total.
Next places
3 points behind #264 Lance Wright, 2 ahead of #266 Guram Mestvirishvili.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Sayed SafarmamadovNow 1527
Wins by decision+22→ 1549
Loses by decision-26→ 1501
Ali MashrapovNow 1503 · #265 Middleweight
Wins by decision+13→ 1516
Loses by decision-11→ 1492
What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Sayed SafarmamadovvsAli Mashrapov

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Sayed Safarmamadovsubmission leads 50% of wins
Ali MashrapovKO/TKO leads 41% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Sayed SafarmamadovAli Mashrapov

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available
UFC lightweight average : 3.81
Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available
UFC lightweight average : 46%
Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available
UFC lightweight average : 3.91
Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available
UFC lightweight average : 53%
Not availableTakedown averageNot available
UFC lightweight average : 1.67
Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available
UFC lightweight average : 28%
Not availableTakedown defenseNot available
UFC lightweight average : 58%
Not availableSubmission averageNot available
UFC lightweight average : 0.55
0Wins by knockout7
2Wins by submission6
2Wins by decision4
0Losses by knockout6
0Losses by submission7
0Losses by decision2

Sayed Safarmamadov vs Ali Mashrapov is a scheduled Welterweight fight on ACA 209 : FROLOV VS ODILOV. Sayed Safarmamadov enters with a 4-3-0 record and Ali Mashrapov enters with a 17-15-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Sayed Safarmamadov vs Ali Mashrapov quick answers

When is Sayed Safarmamadov vs Ali Mashrapov?

Sayed Safarmamadov vs Ali Mashrapov is listed for ACA 209 : FROLOV VS ODILOV on Oct 30, 2026 at 8:00 AM EST.

What event is Sayed Safarmamadov vs Ali Mashrapov on?

Sayed Safarmamadov vs Ali Mashrapov is listed on ACA 209 : FROLOV VS ODILOV.

What are the records for Sayed Safarmamadov vs Ali Mashrapov?

Sayed Safarmamadov enters with a 4-3-0 record and Ali Mashrapov enters with a 17-15-0 record.

What division is Sayed Safarmamadov vs Ali Mashrapov?

Sayed Safarmamadov vs Ali Mashrapov is listed as a Welterweight fight.

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