Arnold Allen vs Diego Lopes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-4-0Record28-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight161 lbs
Tristar GymTeamLobo Gym MMA· 1722 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1792
If they lose-12→ 1768
If they win+12→ 1794
If they lose-12→ 1770
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Arnold AllenDiego Lopes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Arnold Allen and Diego Lopes within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1780 vs 1782), separated by just 2 points.
Arnold Allen finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Diego Lopes 86%.
Arnold Allen and Diego Lopes share 3 common opponents: Jean Silva, Movsar Evloev and Sodiq Yusuff.
Diego Lopes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.