Rafael Fiziev14-5-0
Manuel Torres17-4-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Rafael Fiziev won
38%Rafael Fiziev62%Manuel Torres
Combat Edge Model · Full card
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs Torres predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs Torres (June 27, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
13Total bouts
13Frozen forecasts
2Close matchups
0Model / Elo splits
4Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
Card intelligence
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Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.
Showing all 13 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
6 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Shara Magomedov17-1-0
Michel Pereira32-15-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Shara Magomedov won
67%Shara Magomedov33%Michel Pereira
Nazim Sadykhov11-3-1
Matheus Camilo11-4-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Matheus Camilo won
64%Nazim Sadykhov36%Matheus Camilo
Asu Almabayev24-3-0
Charles Johnson20-9-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Asu Almabayev won
73%Asu Almabayev27%Charles Johnson
Ikram Aliskerov18-2-0
Brunno Ferreira15-5-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Ikram Aliskerov won
55%Ikram Aliskerov46%Brunno Ferreira
Abus Magomedov29-7-1
Michał Oleksiejczuk22-10-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Abus Magomedov won
33%Abus Magomedov67%Michał Oleksiejczuk
Prelims
Prelims predictions
7 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Farman Hasanov5-0-0
Eric Nolan9-5-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Farman Hasanov won
67%Farman Hasanov33%Eric Nolan
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev10-0-0
Julius Walker8-3-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev won
72%Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev28%Julius Walker
Nursulton Ruziboev37-10-2
Andrey Pulyaev10-6-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Nursulton Ruziboev won
58%Nursulton Ruziboev43%Andrey Pulyaev
Kaan Ofli14-4-1
Javier Reyes23-6-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Kaan Ofli won
36%Kaan Ofli64%Javier Reyes
Daniil Donchenko15-2-0
Theodor Berggren8-4-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Daniil Donchenko won
73%Daniil Donchenko27%Theodor Berggren
Bekzat Almakhan12-4-0
Jean Matsumoto18-2-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Jean Matsumoto won
28%Bekzat Almakhan72%Jean Matsumoto
Tahir Abdullayev20-3-0
Jefferson Nascimento13-1-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Tahir Abdullayev won
46%Tahir Abdullayev55%Jefferson Nascimento