UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MORENO VS KAVANAGH predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MORENO VS KAVANAGH (February 28, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data, frozen before fight night, and graded on the accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
Start time & how to watch
Main card starts Saturday, February 28, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.
- US East (ET)
- Sat 8:00 PM
- US West (PT)
- Sat 5:00 PM
- United Kingdom
- Sun 1:00 AM
- Central Europe
- Sun 2:00 AM
- Australia (Sydney)
- Sun 12:00 PM
- Your time
No frozen predictions for this card yet — the model scores every bout once the matchups are locked. Check back shortly.
Main card
Brandon Moreno Result recorded — see fight page Lone’er Kavanagh Marlon Vera Result recorded — see fight page David Martinez Daniel Zellhuber Result recorded — see fight page King Green Edgar Cháirez Result recorded — see fight page Felipe Bunes Imanol Rodriguez Result recorded — see fight page Kevin Borjas Santiago Luna Result recorded — see fight page Angel Pacheco
Prelims
Ryan Gandra Result recorded — see fight page José Medina Ailín Pérez Result recorded — see fight page Macy Chiasson Cristian Quiñonez Result recorded — see fight page Kris Moutinho Douglas Silva de Andrade Result recorded — see fight page Javier Reyes Regina Tarin Result recorded — see fight page Ernesta Kareckaite Erik Silva Result recorded — see fight page Francis Marshall Damian Pinas Result recorded — see fight page Wes Schultz