Andrei Arlovski vs Augusto Sakai

Apr 28, 2019 · ESPN+

DateApr 28, 2019

DivisionHeavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueBB&T Center

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, April 28, 2019 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 1:00 AM
Central Europe: Mon 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 10:00 AM
Your time

Andrei ArlovskiThe Pit Bull |34-24-0Andrei Arlovski vs Augusto SakaiAugusto Sakai17-8-1

Andrei ArlovskiThe Pit Bull34-24-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time5:00

34-24-0Record17-8-1

47Age35

6'4"Height6'4"

77"Reach77"

245 lbsWeight264 lbs

HeavyweightWeight ClassHeavyweight

Augusto Sakai17-8-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Andrei Arlovski owns a 29-point Elo edge (solid). Andrei Arlovski shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Andrei Arlovski and Augusto Sakai across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Andrei ArlovskiAugusto Sakai

Recent form

Andrei ArlovskiL L L L W · -46 Elo last 5

LLLLW

Augusto SakaiL L W L L · -47 Elo last 5

LLWLL

Elo edge

Andrei Arlovski1646-9 last move

Augusto Sakai1617-21 last move

Why they are ranked here

Andrei ArlovskiNot on the active ladder · 1646 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Tanner Boser (rated 1691 at the time): +13.
Costliest loss: Lost to Don'Tale Mayes (rated 1615 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -46 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1618, not 1646: 28 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Augusto Sakai#93 of 174 active Heavyweight fighters · 1617 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Don'Tale Mayes (rated 1631 at the time): +15.
Costliest loss: Lost to Artur Szpilka (rated 1516 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -47 Elo in total.
Next places: 3 points behind #92 Martin Batur, 0 ahead of #94 Marek Bujło.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Andrei ArlovskiNow 1646

Wins by decision+11→ 1657

Loses by decision-13→ 1633

Augusto SakaiNow 1617 · #93 Heavyweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1634

Loses by decision-15→ 1602

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Andrei ArlovskivsAugusto Sakai

Takedown accuracy

35%vs20%

Takedown defense

77%vs56%

Submission average

0.20vs0

Sig. strikes landed per min

3.82vs4.60

Finishing profile

Andrei ArlovskiKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Augusto SakaiKO/TKO leads 65% of wins

Common opponents

Don'Tale MayesAndrei Arlovski: loss · TKO (punches) · Jun 3, 2023Augusto Sakai: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Feb 25, 2023

Tai TuivasaAndrei Arlovski: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Jun 9, 2018Augusto Sakai: loss · KO (punches) · Dec 11, 2021

Tai TuivasaAndrei Arlovski: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Jun 9, 2018Augusto Sakai: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Nov 20, 2021

Tale of the tape

Andrei ArlovskiAugusto Sakai

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.82Sig. strikes landed per min4.60

UFC heavyweight average : 3.77

46Sig. strike accuracy49

UFC heavyweight average : 49%

3.22Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.83

UFC heavyweight average : 3.92

57Sig. strike defense49

UFC heavyweight average : 51%

0.37Takedown average0.23

UFC heavyweight average : 1.40

35Takedown accuracy20

UFC heavyweight average : 30%

77Takedown defense56

UFC heavyweight average : 53%

0.20Submission average0

UFC heavyweight average : 0.44

17Wins by knockout11

3Wins by submission0

14Wins by decision6

12Losses by knockout4

3Losses by submission0

9Losses by decision4

Andrei Arlovski vs Augusto Sakai is a scheduled Heavyweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : JACARE VS HERMANSSON. Andrei Arlovski enters with a 34-24-0 record and Augusto Sakai enters with a 17-8-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.