Austen Lane vs Justin Tafa

Jun 24, 2023 · ESPN+

DateJun 24, 2023

DivisionHeavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueVyStar Veterans Memorial Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, June 24, 2023 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:00 AM
Your time

Austen Lane13-8-0Austen Lane vs Justin TafaJustin TafaBad Man |7-5-0

Austen Lane13-8-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time0:29

13-8-0Record7-5-0

38Age32

6'6"Height6'0"

80"Reach74"

255 lbsWeight265 lbs

HeavyweightWeight ClassHeavyweight

Justin TafaBad Man7-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Justin Tafa owns a 33-point Elo edge (solid). Austen Lane shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 2 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Austen Lane and Justin Tafa across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Austen LaneJustin Tafa

Recent form

Austen LaneL L L W L · -44 Elo last 5

LLLWL

Justin TafaL L W W W · +65 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Elo edge

Austen Lane1575-15 last move

Justin Tafa1608-17 last move

Why they are ranked here

Austen Lane#134 of 177 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1575 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Juan Adams (rated 1579 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Justin Tafa (rated 1607 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -44 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #133 Caio Machado, 0 ahead of #135 Lajos Papp.

Justin Tafa#111 of 184 active Heavyweight fighters · 1608 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Austen Lane (rated 1641 at the time): +33.
Costliest loss: Lost to Yorgan De Castro (rated 1615 at the time): -26.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +65 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #110 Marcus Buchecha, 0 ahead of #112 Daniil Matsola.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Austen LaneNow 1575 · #134 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+18→ 1593

Loses by decision-14→ 1561

Justin TafaNow 1608 · #111 Heavyweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1622

Loses by decision-18→ 1590

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Austen LanevsJustin Tafa

Takedown average

1.52vs0

Takedown accuracy

29%vs0%

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

2.23vs5.11

Takedown defense

33%vs53%

Finishing profile

Austen LaneKO/TKO leads 85% of wins

Justin TafaKO/TKO leads 100% of wins

Common opponents

Jhonata Diniz Austen Lane: loss · KO (punches) · Apr 27, 2024 Justin Tafa: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jun 28, 2025

Juan AdamsAusten Lane: win · TKO (punches) · Nov 21, 2021Justin Tafa: win · TKO (punches) · Feb 8, 2020

Tale of the tape

Austen LaneJustin Tafa

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.74Sig. strikes landed per min4.05

UFC heavyweight average : 3.77

51Sig. strike accuracy54

UFC heavyweight average : 49%

2.23Sig. strikes absorbed per min5.11

UFC heavyweight average : 3.92

41Sig. strike defense47

UFC heavyweight average : 51%

1.52Takedown average0

UFC heavyweight average : 1.40

29Takedown accuracy0

UFC heavyweight average : 30%

33Takedown defense53

UFC heavyweight average : 53%

0Submission average0

UFC heavyweight average : 0.44

11Wins by knockout7

1Wins by submission0

1Wins by decision0

7Losses by knockout2

1Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision3

Austen Lane vs Justin Tafa is a scheduled Heavyweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : EMMETT VS TOPURIA. Austen Lane enters with a 13-8-0 record and Justin Tafa enters with a 7-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.