Jhonata Diniz vs Justin Tafa

Jun 28, 2025 · PPV

DateJun 28, 2025

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueT-Mobile Arena

BroadcastPPV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, June 28, 2025 — watch on PPV.

US East (ET): Sat 10:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 7:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 3:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 4:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 12:00 PM
Your time

Jhonata Diniz9-2-0Jhonata Diniz vs Justin TafaJustin TafaBad Man |7-5-0

Jhonata Diniz9-2-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

9-2-0Record7-5-0

35Age32

6'4"Height6'0"

79"Reach74"

255 lbsWeight265 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Justin TafaBad Man7-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Jhonata Diniz owns a 64-point Elo edge (good). Jhonata Diniz shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Jhonata Diniz and Justin Tafa across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Jhonata DinizJustin Tafa

Recent form

Jhonata DinizL W L W W · +31 Elo last 5

LWLWW

Justin TafaL L W W W · +65 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Elo edge

Jhonata Diniz1672-18 last move

Justin Tafa1608-17 last move

Why they are ranked here

Jhonata Diniz#53 of 184 active Heavyweight fighters · 1672 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Eduardo Neves (rated 1632 at the time): +31.
Costliest loss: Lost to Marcin Tybura (rated 1726 at the time): -26.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +31 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #52 Alexander Poppeck, 0 ahead of #54 Tallison Teixeira.

Justin Tafa#111 of 184 active Heavyweight fighters · 1608 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Austen Lane (rated 1641 at the time): +33.
Costliest loss: Lost to Yorgan De Castro (rated 1615 at the time): -26.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +65 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #110 Marcus Buchecha, 0 ahead of #112 Daniil Matsola.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Jhonata DinizNow 1672 · #53 Heavyweight

Wins by decision+13→ 1685

Loses by decision-19→ 1653

Justin TafaNow 1608 · #111 Heavyweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1627

Loses by decision-13→ 1595

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Jhonata DinizvsJustin Tafa

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

3.62vs5.11

Takedown defense

70%vs53%

Sig. strike defense

57%vs47%

Sig. strikes landed per min

3.89vs4.05

Finishing profile

Jhonata DinizKO/TKO leads 78% of wins

Justin TafaKO/TKO leads 100% of wins

Common opponents

Karl Williams Jhonata Diniz: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Aug 10, 2024 Justin Tafa: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Mar 23, 2024

Austen Lane Jhonata Diniz: win · KO (punches) · Apr 27, 2024 Justin Tafa: win · KO (punches) · Sep 9, 2023

Austen Lane Jhonata Diniz: win · KO (punches) · Apr 27, 2024 Justin Tafa: no contest · NC (accidental eye poke) · Jun 24, 2023

Tale of the tape

Jhonata DinizJustin Tafa

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.89Sig. strikes landed per min4.05

UFC heavyweight average : 3.77

56Sig. strike accuracy54

UFC heavyweight average : 49%

3.62Sig. strikes absorbed per min5.11

UFC heavyweight average : 3.92

57Sig. strike defense47

UFC heavyweight average : 51%

0Takedown average0

UFC heavyweight average : 1.40

Not availableTakedown accuracy0

UFC heavyweight average : 30%

70Takedown defense53

UFC heavyweight average : 53%

0Submission average0

UFC heavyweight average : 0.44

7Wins by knockout7

0Wins by submission0

2Wins by decision0

2Losses by knockout2

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision3

Jhonata Diniz vs Justin Tafa is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC 317 : TOPURIA VS OLIVEIRA. Jhonata Diniz enters with a 9-2-0 record and Justin Tafa enters with a 7-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.