Brendan Allen vs Alexander Shlemenko

Oct 23, 2026

Combat Edge model forecast92%Brendan Allen8%Alexander ShlemenkoFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 23, 2026

DivisionCruiserweight Wrestling

StatusScheduled

VenueBleauLive Theater

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 23, 2026.

US East (ET): Fri 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 1:00 AM
Central Europe: Sat 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 11:00 AM
Your time

Brendan AllenAll In |28-7-0Brendan Allen vs Alexander ShlemenkoAlexander ShlemenkoStorm |68-17-1

Brendan AllenAll In28-7-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

28-7-0Record68-17-1

30Age42

6'2"Height5'11"

75"Reach70"

185 lbsWeight185 lbs

Cruiserweight WrestlingWeight ClassCruiserweight Wrestling

Alexander ShlemenkoStorm68-17-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Brendan Allen owns a 77-point Elo edge (great). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Brendan Allen and Alexander Shlemenko across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Brendan AllenAlexander Shlemenko

Recent form

Brendan AllenW W W W L · +29 Elo last 5

WWWWL

Alexander ShlemenkoW L W L W · -23 Elo last 5

WLWLW

Elo edge

Brendan Allen1831+12 last move

Alexander Shlemenko1754+8 last move

Why they are ranked here

Brendan Allen#3 of 280 active Middleweight fighters · 1831 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat André Muniz (rated 1789 at the time): +15.
Costliest loss: Lost to Anthony Hernandez (rated 1715 at the time): -15.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +29 Elo in total.
Next places: 6 points behind #2 Michael Page, 3 ahead of #4 Khamzat Chimaev.

Alexander Shlemenko#17 of 280 active Middleweight fighters · 1754 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Alex Oliveira (rated 1646 at the time): +10.
Costliest loss: Lost to Vladislav Kovalev (rated 1534 at the time): -23.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, -23 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #16 Jason Jackson, 2 ahead of #18 Baisangur Susurkaev.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

92%Brendan Allen8%Alexander Shlemenko

Model favoriteBrendan Allen

Elo baseline61% for Brendan Allen

Matchup adjustment+31 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Brendan AllenStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Brendan Allen leads the full model at 92%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 32 points.

Current Elo ratings1831 · 1754Brendan Allen leads by 77 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1740 · 1568Brendan Allen faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth35 · 84 fightsAlexander Shlemenko has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Brendan AllenNow 1831 · #3 Middleweight

Wins by decision+9→ 1840

Loses by decision-15→ 1816

Alexander ShlemenkoNow 1754 · #17 Middleweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1769

Loses by decision-9→ 1745

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Brendan AllenvsAlexander Shlemenko

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Brendan Allensubmission leads 54% of wins

Alexander ShlemenkoKO/TKO leads 51% of wins

Common opponents

Bruno Silva Brendan Allen: win · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Jun 24, 2023Alexander Shlemenko: loss · KO (Punches) · Jun 1, 2018

Tale of the tape

Brendan AllenAlexander Shlemenko

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.75Sig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.94

52Sig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 48%

3.78Sig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

48Sig. strike defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 52%

1.52Takedown averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

4Takedown accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 30%

58Takedown defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 59%

1.06Submission averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

6Wins by knockout35

15Wins by submission13

7Wins by decision20

2Losses by knockout3

1Losses by submission5

4Losses by decision9

Brendan Allen vs Alexander Shlemenko is a scheduled Cruiserweight Wrestling fight on RAF 14 : TSARUKYAN VS DANIS. Brendan Allen enters with a 28-7-0 record and Alexander Shlemenko enters with a 68-17-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.