Chance Ikei vs Agapito Orozco

Nov 20, 2026 · VICE TV

Pick'em vs the modelWho wins this fight?Make your pick

DateNov 20, 2026

DivisionFlyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueArizona Financial Theatre

BroadcastVICE TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, November 20, 2026 — watch on VICE TV.

US East (ET): Fri 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sat 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 1:00 PM
Your time

Chance IkeiThe Typhoon |7-1-0Chance Ikei vs Agapito OrozcoAgapito OrozcoEl Fenomeno Minero |6-0-0

Chance IkeiThe Typhoon7-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

7-1-0Record6-0-0

TBDAge28

5'6"Height5'2"

TBDReachTBD

126 lbsWeight130 lbs

FlyweightWeight ClassFlyweight

Agapito OrozcoEl Fenomeno Minero6-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Agapito Orozco owns a 1-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Chance Ikei and Agapito Orozco across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Chance IkeiAgapito Orozco

Recent form

Chance IkeiW L W W W · +56 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Agapito OrozcoW W W W W · +104 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Chance Ikei1627+25 last move

Agapito Orozco1628+13 last move

Why they are ranked here

Chance Ikei#92 of 235 active Flyweight fighters · 1627 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Keynan Davis (rated 1500 at the time): +27.
Costliest loss: Lost to Corvan Allen (rated 1500 at the time): -33.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +56 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #91 Thiago Taveira, 0 ahead of #93 Xhelal Lleshi.

Agapito Orozco#171 of 384 active Bantamweight fighters · 1628 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Alex Moreno (rated 1500 at the time): +27.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +104 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #170 Andrzej Karkula, 0 ahead of #172 Pavel Vitruk.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1480 Elo over the last 6 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Chance IkeiNow 1627 · #92 Flyweight

Wins by decision+24→ 1651

Loses by decision-24→ 1603

Agapito OrozcoNow 1628 · #171 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+24→ 1652

Loses by decision-24→ 1604

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Chance IkeivsAgapito Orozco

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Chance Ikeidecision leads 43% of wins

Agapito OrozcoKO/TKO leads 33% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Chance IkeiAgapito Orozco

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC flyweight average : 3.94

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC flyweight average : 44%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC flyweight average : 3.85

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC flyweight average : 55%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC flyweight average : 1.46

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC flyweight average : 25%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC flyweight average : 57%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC flyweight average : 0.63

2Wins by knockout2

2Wins by submission2

3Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision0

Chance Ikei vs Agapito Orozco is a scheduled Flyweight fight on LFA 247 : BRENO VS TORRES. Chance Ikei enters with a 7-1-0 record and Agapito Orozco enters with a 6-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.