Chiril Negru vs Botond Petrényi

Nov 7, 2026 · FNC.TV

Combat Edge model forecast40%Chiril Negru60%Botond PetrényiFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 7, 2026

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenueSportski Centar Morača

BroadcastFNC.TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 7, 2026 — watch on FNC.TV.

US East (ET): Sat 12:30 PM
US West (PT): Sat 9:30 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 5:30 PM
Central Europe: Sat 6:30 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:30 AM
Your time

Chiril Negru1-0-0Chiril Negru vs Botond PetrényiBotond Petrényi3-1-0

Chiril Negru1-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

1-0-0Record3-1-0

TBDAgeTBD

5'11"HeightTBD

-Reach75.6"

176 lbsWeight170 lbs

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Botond Petrényi3-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Botond Petrényi owns a 30-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Chiril Negru and Botond Petrényi across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Chiril NegruBotond Petrényi

Recent form

Chiril NegruW · +29 Elo last 1

Botond PetrényiW W L W W · +60 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Elo edge

Chiril Negru1529+29 last move

Botond Petrényi1559+15 last move

Why they are ranked here

Chiril Negru#251 of 291 active Middleweight fighters · 1529 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Seweryn Mańkowski (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Next places: 1 point behind #250 Adrian Dudek, 0 ahead of #252 Kennedy Rayomba.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1500 Elo over the last 1 fight. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.
Sample: Only 1 rated fight, so each result still moves this rating more than a veteran's.

Botond Petrényi#284 of 385 active Welterweight fighters · 1559 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Alin Moatamed (rated 1500 at the time): +27.
Costliest loss: Lost to Christopher Drouillard-Odena (rated 1486 at the time): -28.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +60 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #283 Viktor Červinský, 1 ahead of #285 James Vake.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

40%Chiril Negru60%Botond Petrényi

Model favoriteBotond Petrényi

Elo baseline54% for Botond Petrényi

Matchup adjustment+6 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Botond PetrényiStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Botond Petrényi leads the full model at 60%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 6 points.

Current Elo ratings1529 · 1559Botond Petrényi leads by 30 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1500 · 1468Chiril Negru faced the stronger recent schedule (1 vs 5 sampled fights).

Elo record depth1 · 5 fightsBotond Petrényi has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Chiril NegruNow 1529 · #251 Middleweight

Wins by decision+26→ 1555

Loses by decision-22→ 1507

Botond PetrényiNow 1559 · #284 Welterweight

Wins by decision+22→ 1581

Loses by decision-26→ 1533

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Chiril NegruvsBotond Petrényi

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Chiril NegruKO/TKO leads 100% of wins

Botond Petrényidecision leads 67% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Chiril NegruBotond Petrényi

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.93

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 48%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 52%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

1Wins by knockout0

0Wins by submission1

0Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision1

Chiril Negru vs Botond Petrényi is a scheduled Welterweight fight on FNC 35 : ZDRAVKOVIC VS VARGAS. Chiril Negru enters with a 1-0-0 record and Botond Petrényi enters with a 3-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.