Miljan Zdravkovic vs Joaquin Vargas

Nov 7, 2026 · FNC.TV

Combat Edge model forecast61%Miljan Zdravkovic39%Joaquin VargasFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 7, 2026

DivisionFNC Bantamweight Championship

StatusScheduled

VenueSportski Centar Morača

BroadcastFNC.TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 7, 2026 — watch on FNC.TV.

US East (ET): Sat 12:30 PM
US West (PT): Sat 9:30 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 5:30 PM
Central Europe: Sat 6:30 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:30 AM
Your time

Miljan Zdravkovic10-0-0Miljan Zdravkovic vs Joaquin VargasJoaquin VargasKakaroto |10-3-0

Miljan Zdravkovic10-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

10-0-0Record10-3-0

27Age25

5'7"Height5'6"

69.7"Reach-

136 lbsWeight135 lbs

FNC Bantamweight ChampionshipWeight ClassFNC Bantamweight Championship

Joaquin VargasKakaroto10-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Miljan Zdravkovic owns a 85-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Miljan Zdravkovic and Joaquin Vargas across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Miljan ZdravkovicJoaquin Vargas

Recent form

Miljan ZdravkovicW W W W W · +80 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Joaquin VargasW L W L W · -5 Elo last 5

WLWLW

Elo edge

Miljan Zdravkovic1719+7 last move

Joaquin Vargas1634+13 last move

Why they are ranked here

Miljan Zdravkovic#43 of 382 active Bantamweight fighters · 1719 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Mariusz Joniak (rated 1566 at the time): +23.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +80 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #42 Adrian Luna Martinetti, 1 ahead of #44 Elijah Smith.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1523 Elo over the last 10 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Joaquin Vargas#163 of 382 active Bantamweight fighters · 1634 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Gianni Acosta (rated 1500 at the time): +26.
Costliest loss: Lost to Matias Palma (rated 1483 at the time): -28.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, -5 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #162 Khalid Taha, 0 ahead of #164 Joji Goto.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

61%Miljan Zdravkovic39%Joaquin Vargas

Model favoriteMiljan Zdravkovic

Elo baseline62% for Miljan Zdravkovic

Matchup adjustment-1 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Miljan ZdravkovicStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Miljan Zdravkovic leads the full model at 61%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 1 point.

Current Elo ratings1719 · 1634Miljan Zdravkovic leads by 85 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1523 · 1513Miljan Zdravkovic faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth11 · 13 fightsJoaquin Vargas has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Miljan ZdravkovicNow 1719 · #43 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+12→ 1731

Loses by decision-20→ 1699

Joaquin VargasNow 1634 · #163 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+20→ 1654

Loses by decision-12→ 1622

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Miljan ZdravkovicvsJoaquin Vargas

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Miljan ZdravkovicKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Joaquin VargasKO/TKO leads 70% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Miljan ZdravkovicJoaquin Vargas

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 26%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

5Wins by knockout7

1Wins by submission2

4Wins by decision1

0Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission1

0Losses by decision1

Miljan Zdravkovic vs Joaquin Vargas is a scheduled FNC Bantamweight Championship fight on FNC 35 : ZDRAVKOVIC VS VARGAS. Miljan Zdravkovic enters with a 10-0-0 record and Joaquin Vargas enters with a 10-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.