Dalibor Dragojević vs Ahmed Abdulkadirov

Nov 7, 2026 · FNC.TV

Combat Edge model forecast51%Dalibor Dragojević49%Ahmed AbdulkadirovFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 7, 2026

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenueSportski Centar Morača

BroadcastFNC.TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 7, 2026 — watch on FNC.TV.

US East (ET): Sat 12:30 PM
US West (PT): Sat 9:30 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 5:30 PM
Central Europe: Sat 6:30 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:30 AM
Your time

Dalibor DragojevićMugiwara |4-1-0Dalibor Dragojević vs Ahmed AbdulkadirovAhmed Abdulkadirov9-3-0

Dalibor DragojevićMugiwara4-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

4-1-0Record9-3-0

TBDAge31

5'8"Height5'8"

-Reach-

170 lbsWeight145 lbs

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Ahmed Abdulkadirov9-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Ahmed Abdulkadirov owns a 46-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Dalibor Dragojević and Ahmed Abdulkadirov across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Dalibor DragojevićAhmed Abdulkadirov

Recent form

Dalibor DragojevićL W W W W · +71 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Ahmed AbdulkadirovL L W W W · +3 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Elo edge

Dalibor Dragojević1571-27 last move

Ahmed Abdulkadirov1617-17 last move

Why they are ranked here

Dalibor Dragojević#261 of 385 active Welterweight fighters · 1571 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Ramiz Lupić (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Khanbulat Irisbiev (rated 1555 at the time): -27.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +71 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #260 Trukon Carson, 0 ahead of #262 Ozzy Martin.

Ahmed Abdulkadirov#220 of 451 active Featherweight fighters · 1617 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Slobodan Kubica (rated 1500 at the time): +25.
Costliest loss: Lost to Ľudovít Klein (rated 1547 at the time): -31.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +3 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #219 Tom Picciano, 0 ahead of #221 Francisco Hernandez.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

51%Dalibor Dragojević49%Ahmed Abdulkadirov

Model favoriteDalibor Dragojević

Elo baseline43% for Dalibor Dragojević

Matchup adjustment+8 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Dalibor DragojevićStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Dalibor Dragojević is 51%, after Elo alone favored Ahmed Abdulkadirov at 57%.

Current Elo ratings1571 · 1617Ahmed Abdulkadirov leads by 46 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1511 · 1509Dalibor Dragojević faced the stronger recent schedule (5 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth5 · 12 fightsAhmed Abdulkadirov has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Dalibor DragojevićNow 1571 · #261 Welterweight

Wins by decision+27→ 1598

Loses by decision-21→ 1550

Ahmed AbdulkadirovNow 1617 · #220 Featherweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1631

Loses by decision-18→ 1599

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Dalibor DragojevićvsAhmed Abdulkadirov

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Dalibor Dragojevićsubmission leads 75% of wins

Ahmed AbdulkadirovKO/TKO leads 89% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Dalibor DragojevićAhmed Abdulkadirov

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC welterweight average : 3.65

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC welterweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC welterweight average : 3.83

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC welterweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC welterweight average : 1.43

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC welterweight average : 30%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC welterweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

0Wins by knockout8

3Wins by submission0

1Wins by decision1

0Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission2

1Losses by decision0

Dalibor Dragojević vs Ahmed Abdulkadirov is a scheduled Welterweight fight on FNC 35 : ZDRAVKOVIC VS VARGAS. Dalibor Dragojević enters with a 4-1-0 record and Ahmed Abdulkadirov enters with a 9-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.