Derek Campos vs Quentin Perez

DateOct 2, 2026

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMinot Air Force Base

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 2, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Fri 6:15 PM
US West (PT): Fri 3:15 PM
United Kingdom: Fri 11:15 PM
Central Europe: Sat 12:15 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 8:15 AM
Your time

Derek CamposThe Iron Stallion |20-16-0Derek Campos vs Quentin PerezQuentin PerezCoach Q |3-0-0

Derek CamposThe Iron Stallion20-16-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

20-16-0Record3-0-0

38AgeTBD

5'9"Height6'0"

68.5"Reach-

176 lbsWeight171 lbs

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Quentin PerezCoach Q3-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Quentin Perez owns a 87-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Derek Campos and Quentin Perez across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Derek CamposQuentin Perez

Recent form

Derek CamposL L L L L · -71 Elo last 5

LLLLL

Quentin PerezW W W · +73 Elo last 3

WWW

Elo edge

Derek Campos1485-14 last move

Quentin Perez1572+25 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

26%Derek Campos74%Quentin Perez

Model favoriteQuentin Perez

Elo baseline62% for Quentin Perez

Matchup adjustment+12 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Quentin PerezStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Quentin Perez leads the full model at 74%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 12 points.

Current Elo ratings1485 · 1572Quentin Perez leads by 87 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1592 · 1468Derek Campos faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 3 sampled fights).

Elo record depth28 · 3 fightsDerek Campos has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Derek CamposvsQuentin Perez

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Derek Camposdecision leads 45% of wins

Quentin Perezsubmission leads 67% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Derek CamposQuentin Perez

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.85

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 48%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.83

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 52%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 1.68

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 31%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 58%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 0.66

6Wins by knockout1

5Wins by submission2

9Wins by decision0

6Losses by knockout0

5Losses by submission0

5Losses by decision0

Derek Campos vs Quentin Perez is a scheduled Welterweight fight on FURY FC 125 : FIGHT FORCE. Derek Campos enters with a 20-16-0 record and Quentin Perez enters with a 3-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.