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FURY FC 125 : FIGHT FORCE

Carlos Calderon vs Lorram Esteves

DateOct 2, 2026
StatusScheduled
VenueMinot Air Force Base
BroadcastUFC Fight Pass
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 2, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET)
Fri 6:15 PM
US West (PT)
Fri 3:15 PM
United Kingdom
Fri 11:15 PM
Central Europe
Sat 12:15 AM
Australia (Sydney)
Sat 8:15 AM
Carlos CalderonThe Chief |10-4-0Carlos Calderon vs Lorram EstevesLorram Esteves10-3-0
usCarlos CalderonThe Chief10-4-0Carlos Calderonus

Fight Overview

Round5
Time5:00
10-4-0Record10-3-0
30Age32
5'11"Height5'9"
71"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
FFC Featherweight ChampionshipWeight ClassFFC Featherweight Championship
brLorram Esteves10-3-0brLorram Esteves
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Carlos Calderon owns a 13-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Carlos Calderon and Lorram Esteves across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Carlos CalderonLorram Esteves
15501600202420252026

Recent form

Carlos CalderonW W L W W · +62 Elo last 5
WWLWW
Lorram EstevesW W L W W · +32 Elo last 5
WWLWW

Elo edge

Carlos Calderon1611+24 last move
Lorram Esteves1598+17 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
58%Carlos Calderon42%Lorram Esteves
Model favoriteCarlos Calderon
Elo baseline52% for Carlos Calderon
Matchup adjustment+6 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Carlos Calderon leads the full model at 58%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 6 points.

Current Elo ratings1611 · 1598Carlos Calderon leads by 13 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1531 · 1489Carlos Calderon faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).
Elo record depth14 · 12 fightsCarlos Calderon has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Carlos CalderonvsLorram Esteves

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Carlos Calderonsubmission leads 60% of wins
Lorram Estevessubmission leads 80% of wins

Common opponents

Cameron GravesCarlos Calderon: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Sep 7, 2025Lorram Esteves: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Feb 6, 2022

Tale of the tape

Carlos CalderonLorram Esteves

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available
UFC featherweight average : 3.96
Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available
UFC featherweight average : 46%
Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available
UFC featherweight average : 3.85
Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available
UFC featherweight average : 54%
Not availableTakedown averageNot available
UFC featherweight average : 1.57
Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available
UFC featherweight average : 31%
Not availableTakedown defenseNot available
UFC featherweight average : 55%
Not availableSubmission averageNot available
UFC featherweight average : 0.63
2Wins by knockout0
6Wins by submission8
2Wins by decision2
0Losses by knockout1
2Losses by submission0
2Losses by decision2

Carlos Calderon vs Lorram Esteves is a scheduled FFC Featherweight Championship fight on FURY FC 125 : FIGHT FORCE. Carlos Calderon enters with a 10-4-0 record and Lorram Esteves enters with a 10-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Carlos Calderon vs Lorram Esteves quick answers

When is Carlos Calderon vs Lorram Esteves?

Carlos Calderon vs Lorram Esteves is listed for FURY FC 125 : FIGHT FORCE on Oct 2, 2026 at 6:15 PM EST.

What event is Carlos Calderon vs Lorram Esteves on?

Carlos Calderon vs Lorram Esteves is listed on FURY FC 125 : FIGHT FORCE.

What are the records for Carlos Calderon vs Lorram Esteves?

Carlos Calderon enters with a 10-4-0 record and Lorram Esteves enters with a 10-3-0 record.

What division is Carlos Calderon vs Lorram Esteves?

Carlos Calderon vs Lorram Esteves is listed as a FFC Featherweight Championship fight.

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