Devon Dixon vs Alex Foster

DateOct 2, 2026

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMinot Air Force Base

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 2, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Fri 6:15 PM
US West (PT): Fri 3:15 PM
United Kingdom: Fri 11:15 PM
Central Europe: Sat 12:15 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 8:15 AM
Your time

Devon Dixon8-3-1Devon Dixon vs Alex FosterAlex FosterThe Infamous |5-2-0

Devon Dixon8-3-1

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

8-3-1Record5-2-0

29Age24

5'10"Height6'0"

-Reach-

156 lbsWeight156 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Alex FosterThe Infamous5-2-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Alex Foster owns a 1-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Devon Dixon and Alex Foster across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Devon DixonAlex Foster

Recent form

Devon DixonW L L W W · -2 Elo last 5

WLLWW

Alex FosterL W W W W · +72 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Elo edge

Devon Dixon1574+16 last move

Alex Foster1575-27 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

42%Devon Dixon58%Alex Foster

Model favoriteAlex Foster

Elo baseline50% for Alex Foster

Matchup adjustment+8 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Alex FosterStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Alex Foster leads the full model at 58%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 7 points.

Current Elo ratings1574 · 1575Alex Foster leads by 1 rating point.

Recent opponent quality1504 · 1506Alex Foster faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 7 sampled fights).

Elo record depth12 · 7 fightsDevon Dixon has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Devon DixonvsAlex Foster

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Devon Dixonsubmission leads 50% of wins

Alex FosterKO/TKO leads 80% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Devon DixonAlex Foster

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.69

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

2Wins by knockout4

4Wins by submission1

2Wins by decision0

2Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission1

0Losses by decision1

Devon Dixon vs Alex Foster is a scheduled Lightweight fight on FURY FC 125 : FIGHT FORCE. Devon Dixon enters with a 8-3-1 record and Alex Foster enters with a 5-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.