Eddie Alvarez vs Dustin Poirier

May 14, 2017 · ESPN+

DateMay 14, 2017

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueAmerican Airlines Center

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, May 14, 2017 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Mon 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 11:00 AM
Your time

Eddie AlvarezThe Underground King |30-8-0Eddie Alvarez vs Dustin PoirierDustin PoirierThe Diamond |30-10-0

Eddie AlvarezThe Underground King30-8-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time00:05

30-8-0Record30-10-0

42Age37

5'9"Height5'9"

69,0"Reach72″

170 lbsWeight155 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Dustin PoirierThe Diamond30-10-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Dustin Poirier owns a 17-point Elo edge (great). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Eddie Alvarez and Dustin Poirier across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Eddie AlvarezDustin Poirier

Recent form

Eddie AlvarezL W L L W · -40 Elo last 5

LWLLW

Dustin PoirierL L W L W · -14 Elo last 5

LLWLW

Elo edge

Eddie Alvarez1795-16 last move

Dustin Poirier1812-12 last move

Why they are ranked here

Eddie AlvarezNot on the active ladder · 1795 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Justin Gaethje (rated 1822 at the time): +14.
Costliest loss: Lost to Timofey Nastyukhin (rated 1480 at the time): -25.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -40 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1705, not 1795: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Dustin Poirier#8 of 422 active Lightweight fighters · 1812 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Conor McGregor (rated 1829 at the time): +15.
Costliest loss: Lost to Charles Oliveira (rated 1810 at the time): -16.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -14 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #7 Mateusz Gamrot, 0 ahead of #9 Salahdine Parnasse.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Eddie AlvarezNow 1795

Wins by decision+13→ 1808

Loses by decision-11→ 1784

Dustin PoirierNow 1812 · #8 Lightweight

Wins by decision+11→ 1823

Loses by decision-13→ 1799

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Eddie AlvarezvsDustin Poirier

Submission average

0.47vs1.28

Takedown average

2.92vs1.24

Takedown defense

93%vs64%

Sig. strike accuracy

41%vs51%

Finishing profile

Eddie AlvarezKO/TKO leads 60% of wins

Dustin PoirierKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

Justin Gaethje Eddie Alvarez: win · Knee & Punches · Dec 2, 2017 Dustin Poirier: loss · KO (head kick) · Jul 29, 2023

Michael ChandlerEddie Alvarez: cancelled · May 17, 2014Dustin Poirier: win · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Nov 12, 2022

Conor McGregor Eddie Alvarez: loss · Punches · Nov 12, 2016 Dustin Poirier: win · TKO (doctor stoppage) · Jul 10, 2021

Tale of the tape

Eddie AlvarezDustin Poirier

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.32Sig. strikes landed per min5.30

UFC welterweight average : 3.66

41Sig. strike accuracy51

UFC welterweight average : 46%

4.39Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.33

UFC welterweight average : 3.84

56Sig. strike defense53

UFC welterweight average : 53%

2.92Takedown average1.24

UFC welterweight average : 1.41

37Takedown accuracy36

UFC welterweight average : 30%

93Takedown defense64

UFC welterweight average : 59%

0.47Submission average1.28

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

18Wins by knockout15

6Wins by submission8

6Wins by decision7

4Losses by knockout3

2Losses by submission4

2Losses by decision4

Eddie Alvarez vs Dustin Poirier is a scheduled Lightweight fight on UFC 211 : MIOCIC VS DOS SANTOS 2. Eddie Alvarez enters with a 30-8-0 record and Dustin Poirier enters with a 30-10-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.