Farid Basharat vs Ethyn Ewing

Jul 11, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

Combat Edge model forecast60%Farid Basharat40%Ethyn EwingFull forecast

DateJul 11, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueT-Mobile Arena

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, July 11, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 11:00 AM
Your time

Farid BasharatFerocious |16-0-0Farid Basharat vs Ethyn EwingEthyn EwingThe Professor Finesser |10-2-0

Farid BasharatFerocious16-0-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

16-0-0Record10-2-0

29Age28

5'6"Height5'8"

71"Reach69"

135 lbsWeight135 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Ethyn EwingThe Professor Finesser10-2-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Farid Basharat owns a 108-point Elo edge (great). Ethyn Ewing shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Farid Basharat and Ethyn Ewing across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Farid BasharatEthyn Ewing

Recent form

Farid BasharatW W W W W · +66 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Ethyn EwingW W W W W · +104 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Farid Basharat1796+9 last move

Ethyn Ewing1688+24 last move

Why they are ranked here

Farid Basharat#5 of 315 active Bantamweight fighters · 1796 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Da'Mon Blackshear (rated 1656 at the time): +22.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +66 Elo in total.
Next places: 6 points behind #4 Umar Nurmagomedov, 5 ahead of #6 Mario Bautista.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1647 Elo over the last 10 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Ethyn Ewing#67 of 315 active Bantamweight fighters · 1688 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Elijah Ozuna (rated 1500 at the time): +31.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +104 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #66 Da'Mon Blackshear, 1 ahead of #68 Dan Ige.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1545 Elo over the last 10 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.5-2026-07-01

60%Farid Basharat40%Ethyn Ewing

Model favoriteFarid Basharat

Elo baseline64% for Farid Basharat

Matchup adjustment-4 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Farid BasharatStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Farid Basharat leads the full model at 60%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 4 points.

Current Elo ratings1796 · 1688Farid Basharat leads by 108 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1647 · 1545Farid Basharat faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth16 · 12 fightsFarid Basharat has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesFarid Basharat 1 · 3 Ethyn EwingStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Ethyn Ewing.

What's at stake

Farid BasharatNow 1796 · #5 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+11→ 1807

Loses by decision-21→ 1775

Ethyn EwingNow 1688 · #67 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+21→ 1709

Loses by decision-11→ 1677

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Farid BasharatvsEthyn Ewing

Takedown accuracy

6%vs60%

Takedown average

3.34vs1.68

Takedown defense

55%vs100%

Sig. strikes landed per min

4.25vs7.44

Finishing profile

Farid Basharatdecision leads 56% of wins

Ethyn EwingKO/TKO leads 70% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Farid BasharatEthyn Ewing

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.25Sig. strikes landed per min7.44

UFC bantamweight average : 3.71

52Sig. strike accuracy55

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

2.89Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.53

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

62Sig. strike defense63

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

3.34Takedown average1.68

UFC bantamweight average : 1.51

6Takedown accuracy60

UFC bantamweight average : 26%

55Takedown defense100

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

0.32Submission average0

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

1Wins by knockout7

6Wins by submission1

9Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission1

0Losses by decision1

Farid Basharat vs Ethyn Ewing is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC 329 : MCGREGOR VS HOLLOWAY 2. Farid Basharat enters with a 16-0-0 record and Ethyn Ewing enters with a 10-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.