OKTAGON 94 : ECKERLIN VS KOZMA

Frederic Vosgröne vs Karlos Vémola

DateSep 26, 2026
DivisionCatchweight
StatusScheduled
VenueDeutsche Bank Park
BroadcastOKTAGON PASS
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, September 26, 2026 — watch on OKTAGON PASS.

US East (ET)
Sat 12:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 9:00 AM
United Kingdom
Sat 5:00 PM
Central Europe
Sat 6:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 2:00 AM
Frederic Vosgröne5-0-0Frederic Vosgröne vs Karlos VémolaKarlos VémolaThe Terminator |38-9-0
deFrederic Vosgröne5-0-0Frederic Vosgröne
Elo1621Solid
3Y trend1555 → 1621
2024-10-26: 15552024-12-21: 15782025-04-05: 16012025-09-20: 1621
de

Fight Overview

Round3
Time5:00
5-0-0Record38-9-0
TBDAge41
6'0"Height6'0"
-Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
CatchweightWeight ClassCatchweight
czKarlos VémolaThe Terminator38-9-0czKarlos Vémola
Elo1721Good
3Y trend1724 → 1721
2022-07-23: 17242023-04-15: 17332023-05-20: 17202023-07-29: 17242023-10-07: 17312023-12-29: 17112024-06-08: 17252024-12-29: 17102025-06-14: 1721
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Karlos Vémola owns a 100-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Frederic Vosgröne and Karlos Vémola across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Frederic VosgröneKarlos Vémola
15501600165017001750202320242025

Recent form

Frederic VosgröneW W W W W · +121 Elo last 5
WWWWW
Karlos VémolaW L W L W · -3 Elo last 5
WLWLW

Elo edge

Frederic Vosgröne1621+21 last move
Karlos Vémola1721+11 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
29%Frederic Vosgröne71%Karlos Vémola
Model favoriteKarlos Vémola
Elo baseline64% for Karlos Vémola
Matchup adjustment+7 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Karlos VémolaStake

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Karlos Vémola leads the full model at 71%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 7 points.

Current Elo ratings1621 · 1721Karlos Vémola leads by 100 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1497 · 1586Karlos Vémola faced the stronger recent schedule (5 vs 10 sampled fights).
Elo record depth5 · 38 fightsKarlos Vémola has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Frederic VosgrönevsKarlos Vémola

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Frederic Vosgrönesubmission leads 100% of wins
Karlos Vémolasubmission leads 53% of wins

Common opponents

Lucas AlsinaFrederic Vosgröne: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jun 14, 2025Karlos Vémola: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Jul 29, 2023

Tale of the tape

Frederic VosgröneKarlos Vémola

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available
UFC light heavyweight average : 3.99
Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available
UFC light heavyweight average : 50%
Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available
UFC light heavyweight average : 3.74
Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available
UFC light heavyweight average : 50%
Not availableTakedown averageNot available
UFC light heavyweight average : 1.37
Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available
UFC light heavyweight average : 28%
Not availableTakedown defenseNot available
UFC light heavyweight average : 57%
Not availableSubmission averageNot available
UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59
0Wins by knockout9
5Wins by submission20
0Wins by decision9
0Losses by knockout2
0Losses by submission3
0Losses by decision4

Frederic Vosgröne vs Karlos Vémola is a scheduled Catchweight fight on OKTAGON 94 : ECKERLIN VS KOZMA. Frederic Vosgröne enters with a 5-0-0 record and Karlos Vémola enters with a 38-9-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Frederic Vosgröne vs Karlos Vémola quick answers

When is Frederic Vosgröne vs Karlos Vémola?

Frederic Vosgröne vs Karlos Vémola is listed for OKTAGON 94 : ECKERLIN VS KOZMA on Sep 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST.

What event is Frederic Vosgröne vs Karlos Vémola on?

Frederic Vosgröne vs Karlos Vémola is listed on OKTAGON 94 : ECKERLIN VS KOZMA.

What are the records for Frederic Vosgröne vs Karlos Vémola?

Frederic Vosgröne enters with a 5-0-0 record and Karlos Vémola enters with a 38-9-0 record.

What division is Frederic Vosgröne vs Karlos Vémola?

Frederic Vosgröne vs Karlos Vémola is listed as a Catchweight fight.

Full fight card

Comments

Loading comments…