Jan Błachowicz vs Thiago Santos

Feb 23, 2019 · ESPN+

DateFeb 23, 2019

DivisionLight Heavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueO2 Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, February 23, 2019 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:00 AM
Your time

Jan Błachowicz29-12-2Jan Błachowicz vs Thiago SantosThiago SantosMarreta |22-13-0

Jan Błachowicz29-12-2

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time0:39

29-12-2Record22-13-0

43Age42

6'2"Height6'2"

78"Reach 76"

205 lbsWeight241 lbs

Light HeavyweightWeight ClassLight Heavyweight

Thiago SantosMarreta22-13-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Jan Błachowicz owns a 59-point Elo edge (good). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Jan Błachowicz and Thiago Santos across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Jan BłachowiczThiago Santos

Recent form

Jan BłachowiczL D L L L · -49 Elo last 5

LDLLL

Thiago SantosL L L L L · -69 Elo last 5

LLLLL

Elo edge

Jan Błachowicz1733-15 last move

Thiago Santos1674-20 last move

Why they are ranked here

Jan Błachowicz#18 of 177 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1733 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Dominick Reyes (rated 1756 at the time): +15.
Costliest loss: Lost to Navajo Stirling (rated 1741 at the time): -15.
Last 5 fights: 0 wins, 4 losses, -49 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #17 Nick Maximov, 2 ahead of #19 Luke Trainer.

Thiago Santos#48 of 177 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1674 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Jan Błachowicz (rated 1723 at the time): +17.
Costliest loss: Lost to Hector Santiago (rated 1555 at the time): -20.
Last 5 fights: 0 wins, 5 losses, -69 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #47 Dmitriy Aryshev, 7 ahead of #49 Kaloyan Kolev.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Jan BłachowiczNow 1733 · #18 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+10→ 1743

Loses by decision-14→ 1719

Thiago SantosNow 1674 · #48 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1688

Loses by decision-10→ 1664

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Jan BłachowiczvsThiago Santos

Submission average

0.36vs0.06

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

3.14vs2.57

Takedown average

0.98vs0.88

Takedown accuracy

31%vs33%

Finishing profile

Jan Błachowiczdecision leads 38% of wins

Thiago SantosKO/TKO leads 68% of wins

Common opponents

Magomed Ankalaev Jan Błachowicz: draw · Draw (split) · Dec 10, 2022 Thiago Santos: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Mar 12, 2022

Aleksandar RakićJan Błachowicz: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jan 20, 2024Thiago Santos: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Mar 6, 2021

Glover Teixeira Jan Błachowicz: loss · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Oct 30, 2021Thiago Santos: loss · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Nov 7, 2020

Tale of the tape

Jan BłachowiczThiago Santos

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.55Sig. strikes landed per min3.72

UFC light heavyweight average : 4.00

50Sig. strike accuracy48

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

3.14Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.57

UFC light heavyweight average : 3.73

52Sig. strike defense54

UFC light heavyweight average : 51%

0.98Takedown average0.88

UFC light heavyweight average : 1.37

31Takedown accuracy33

UFC light heavyweight average : 26%

69Takedown defense66

UFC light heavyweight average : 58%

0.36Submission average0.06

UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59

9Wins by knockout15

9Wins by submission1

11Wins by decision6

3Losses by knockout5

2Losses by submission3

7Losses by decision5

Jan Błachowicz vs Thiago Santos is a scheduled Light Heavyweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BLACHOWICZ VS SANTOS. Jan Błachowicz enters with a 29-12-2 record and Thiago Santos enters with a 22-13-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.