Juan Archuleta vs Dylan Ragusin

Oct 23, 2026

Combat Edge model forecast75%Juan Archuleta25%Dylan RagusinFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 23, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight Wrestling

StatusScheduled

VenueBleauLive Theater

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 23, 2026.

US East (ET): Fri 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 1:00 AM
Central Europe: Sat 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 11:00 AM
Your time

Juan ArchuletaThe Spaniard |31-7-0Juan Archuleta vs Dylan RagusinDylan Ragusin0-0-0

Juan ArchuletaThe Spaniard31-7-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

31-7-0Record0-0-0

39AgeTBD

5'8"HeightTBD

69"Reach-

152 lbsWeightTBD

Featherweight WrestlingWeight ClassFeatherweight Wrestling

Dylan Ragusin0-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

The Elo matchup is close or still provisional. Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Juan Archuleta and Dylan Ragusin across their careers →

Recent form

Juan ArchuletaW W L L L · -32 Elo last 5

WWLLL

Dylan RagusinNo counted pro MMA fights yet

No recent Elo history

Elo edge

Juan Archuleta1754+9 last move

Dylan RagusinTBDTBD last move

Why they are ranked here

Juan Archuleta#23 of 433 active Lightweight fighters · 1754 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Enrique Barzola (rated 1687 at the time): +10.
Costliest loss: Lost to Kai Asakura (rated 1732 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -32 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #22 Rongzhu, 0 ahead of #24 Mehdi Baydulaev.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

75%Juan Archuleta25%Dylan Ragusin

Model favoriteJuan Archuleta

Elo baseline81% for Juan Archuleta

Matchup adjustment-6 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Juan ArchuletaStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Juan Archuleta leads the full model at 75%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 6 points.

Current Elo ratingsNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Recent opponent qualityNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Elo record depthNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Juan ArchuletaNow 1754 · #23 Lightweight

Wins by decision+5→ 1759

Loses by decision-19→ 1735

Dylan RagusinNow 1500

Wins by decision+39→ 1539

Loses by decision-9→ 1491

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Juan ArchuletavsDylan Ragusin

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Juan Archuletadecision leads 55% of wins

Dylan RagusinNo tracked pro wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Juan ArchuletaDylan Ragusin

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.67

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 28%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.55

12Wins by knockout0

2Wins by submission0

17Wins by decision0

2Losses by knockout0

3Losses by submission0

2Losses by decision0

Juan Archuleta vs Dylan Ragusin is a scheduled Featherweight Wrestling fight on RAF 14 : TSARUKYAN VS DANIS. Juan Archuleta enters with a 31-7-0 record and Dylan Ragusin enters with a 0-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.