Mahamadou Soukouna vs Elie Caille

DateSep 25, 2026

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenueZénith Toulouse Métropole

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, September 25, 2026.

US East (ET): Fri 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Fri 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Fri 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 3:00 AM
Your time

Mahamadou Soukouna5-1-0Mahamadou Soukouna vs Elie CailleElie Caille7-3-0

Mahamadou Soukouna5-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

5-1-0Record7-3-0

TBDAge26

5'11"Height6'0"

-Reach-

170 lbsWeight155 lbs

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Elie Caille7-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Mahamadou Soukouna owns a 11-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Mahamadou Soukouna and Elie Caille across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Mahamadou SoukounaElie Caille

Recent form

Mahamadou SoukounaW W W W W · +125 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elie CailleW W L W W · +59 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Elo edge

Mahamadou Soukouna1600+17 last move

Elie Caille1589+19 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

48%Mahamadou Soukouna52%Elie Caille

Model favoriteElie Caille

Elo baseline48% for Elie Caille

Matchup adjustment+4 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Elie CailleStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Elie Caille is 52%, after Elo alone favored Mahamadou Soukouna at 52%.

Current Elo ratings1600 · 1589Mahamadou Soukouna leads by 11 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1501 · 1510Elie Caille faced the stronger recent schedule (6 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth6 · 10 fightsElie Caille has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Mahamadou SoukounavsElie Caille

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Mahamadou SoukounaKO/TKO leads 60% of wins

Elie Cailledecision leads 57% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Mahamadou SoukounaElie Caille

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC welterweight average : 3.67

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC welterweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC welterweight average : 3.83

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC welterweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC welterweight average : 1.33

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC welterweight average : 31%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC welterweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

3Wins by knockout1

0Wins by submission2

2Wins by decision4

0Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission1

1Losses by decision1

Mahamadou Soukouna vs Elie Caille is a scheduled Welterweight fight on HEXAGONE MMA 47 : LAPILUS VS BIVOL. Mahamadou Soukouna enters with a 5-1-0 record and Elie Caille enters with a 7-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.