Nessim Khettou vs Mohammed Amine Moufrij

DateSep 25, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueZénith Toulouse Métropole

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, September 25, 2026.

US East (ET): Fri 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Fri 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Fri 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 3:00 AM
Your time

Nessim Khettou2-1-0Nessim Khettou vs Mohammed Amine MoufrijMohammed Amine Moufrij1-1-0

Nessim Khettou2-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

2-1-0Record1-1-0

TBDAge25

TBDHeight5'10"

-Reach-

145 lbsWeight155 lbs

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Mohammed Amine Moufrij1-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Nessim Khettou owns a 22-point Elo edge (average). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Nessim Khettou and Mohammed Amine Moufrij across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Nessim KhettouMohammed Amine Moufrij

Recent form

Nessim KhettouW L W · +29 Elo last 3

WLW

Mohammed Amine MoufrijW L · +7 Elo last 2

Elo edge

Nessim Khettou1529+29 last move

Mohammed Amine Moufrij1507+31 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

49%Nessim Khettou51%Mohammed Amine Moufrij

Model favoriteMohammed Amine Moufrij

Elo baseline47% for Mohammed Amine Moufrij

Matchup adjustment+4 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Mohammed Amine MoufrijStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Mohammed Amine Moufrij is 51%, after Elo alone favored Nessim Khettou at 53%.

Current Elo ratings1529 · 1507Nessim Khettou leads by 22 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1490 · 1500Mohammed Amine Moufrij faced the stronger recent schedule (3 vs 2 sampled fights).

Elo record depth3 · 2 fightsNessim Khettou has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Nessim KhettouvsMohammed Amine Moufrij

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Nessim KhettouKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Mohammed Amine Moufrijsubmission leads 100% of wins

Common opponents

Thomas KerroumiNessim Khettou: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Sep 25, 2026Mohammed Amine Moufrij: win · Arm Triangle Choke · Jun 13, 2026

Tale of the tape

Nessim KhettouMohammed Amine Moufrij

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.96

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.85

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 31%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 55%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 0.63

1Wins by knockout0

1Wins by submission1

0Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision1

Nessim Khettou vs Mohammed Amine Moufrij is a scheduled Featherweight fight on HEXAGONE MMA 47 : LAPILUS VS BIVOL. Nessim Khettou enters with a 2-1-0 record and Mohammed Amine Moufrij enters with a 1-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.