Ugo-Antton Vidal vs Morgan Thong

DateSep 25, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueZénith Toulouse Métropole

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, September 25, 2026.

US East (ET): Fri 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Fri 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Fri 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 3:00 AM
Your time

Ugo-Antton Vidal0-0-0Ugo-Antton Vidal vs Morgan ThongMorgan Thong0-1-0

Ugo-Antton Vidal0-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

0-0-0Record0-1-0

27AgeTBD

TBDHeightTBD

TBDReachTBD

145 lbsWeight145 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Morgan Thong0-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

The Elo matchup is close or still provisional. Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Ugo-Antton Vidal and Morgan Thong across their careers →

Recent form

Ugo-Antton VidalNo counted pro MMA fights yet

No recent Elo history

Morgan ThongL · -24 Elo last 1

Elo edge

Ugo-Antton VidalTBDTBD last move

Morgan Thong1476-24 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

42%Ugo-Antton Vidal58%Morgan Thong

Model favoriteMorgan Thong

Elo baseline47% for Morgan Thong

Matchup adjustment+11 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Morgan ThongStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Morgan Thong is 58%, after Elo alone favored Ugo-Antton Vidal at 53%.

Current Elo ratingsNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Recent opponent qualityNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Elo record depthNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Ugo-Antton VidalvsMorgan Thong

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Ugo-Antton VidalNo tracked pro wins

Morgan ThongNo tracked pro wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Ugo-Antton VidalMorgan Thong

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.96

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.85

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 31%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 55%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 0.63

0Wins by knockout0

0Wins by submission0

0Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision1

Ugo-Antton Vidal vs Morgan Thong is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on HEXAGONE MMA 47 : LAPILUS VS BIVOL. Ugo-Antton Vidal enters with a 0-0-0 record and Morgan Thong enters with a 0-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.