Mitch Gagnon vs Cole Smith

May 5, 2019 · ESPN+

DateMay 5, 2019

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueCanadian Tire Centre

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, May 5, 2019 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Mon 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 9:00 AM
Your time

Mitch Gagnon12-5-0Mitch Gagnon vs Cole SmithCole SmithThe Cole Train |7-3-0

Mitch Gagnon12-5-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

12-5-0Record7-3-0

41Age37

5'6"Height5'11"

65,5"Reach41,0"

135 lbsWeight135 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Cole SmithThe Cole Train7-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Mitch Gagnon owns a 39-point Elo edge (solid). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Mitch Gagnon and Cole Smith across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Mitch GagnonCole Smith

Recent form

Mitch GagnonL L L W W · -25 Elo last 5

LLLWW

Cole SmithL L L W W · -29 Elo last 5

LLLWW

Elo edge

Mitch Gagnon1631-16 last move

Cole Smith1592-32 last move

Why they are ranked here

Mitch GagnonNot on the active ladder · 1631 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Dustin Kimura (rated 1712 at the time): +25.
Costliest loss: Lost to Bryan Caraway (rated 1653 at the time): -29.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -25 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1541, not 1631: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Cole SmithNot on the active ladder · 1592 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Jamie Siraj (rated 1556 at the time): +31.
Costliest loss: Lost to John Sweeney (rated 1496 at the time): -32.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -29 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1502, not 1592: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Mitch GagnonNow 1631

Wins by decision+14→ 1645

Loses by decision-18→ 1613

Cole SmithNow 1592

Wins by decision+18→ 1610

Loses by decision-14→ 1578

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Mitch GagnonvsCole Smith

Sig. strikes landed per min

2.76vs1.78

Takedown defense

66%vs45%

Takedown average

1.16vs1.67

Takedown accuracy

25%vs33%

Finishing profile

Mitch Gagnonsubmission leads 83% of wins

Cole Smithsubmission leads 43% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Mitch GagnonCole Smith

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.76Sig. strikes landed per min1.78

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

46Sig. strike accuracy35

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

2.21Sig. strikes absorbed per min1.96

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

62Sig. strike defense50

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

1.16Takedown average1.67

UFC bantamweight average : 1.51

25Takedown accuracy33

UFC bantamweight average : 26%

66Takedown defense45

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

1.93Submission average1.67

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

1Wins by knockout2

10Wins by submission3

1Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout0

2Losses by submission0

3Losses by decision3

Mitch Gagnon vs Cole Smith is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : IAQUINTA VS COWBOY. Mitch Gagnon enters with a 12-5-0 record and Cole Smith enters with a 7-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.