Paulo Costa vs Brunno Ferreira

Mar 7, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

DateMar 7, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueT-MOBILE ARENA

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, March 7, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 1:00 PM
Your time

Paulo CostaBorrachinha |16-4-0Paulo Costa vs Brunno FerreiraBrunno FerreiraThe Hulk |15-5-0

Paulo CostaBorrachinha16-4-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

16-4-0Record15-5-0

35Age33

6'0"Height5'10"

72"Reach72"

185 lbsWeight185 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Brunno FerreiraThe Hulk15-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Paulo Costa owns a 47-point Elo edge (great). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Paulo Costa and Brunno Ferreira across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Paulo CostaBrunno Ferreira

Recent form

Paulo CostaW W L L W · +30 Elo last 5

WWLLW

Brunno FerreiraL L L W W · -23 Elo last 5

LLLWW

Elo edge

Paulo Costa1754+23 last move

Brunno Ferreira1707-16 last move

Why they are ranked here

Paulo Costa#9 of 162 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1754 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Johny Hendricks (rated 1722 at the time): +33.
Costliest loss: Lost to Marvin Vettori (rated 1714 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +30 Elo in total.
Next places: 7 points behind #8 Navajo Stirling, 1 ahead of #10 Robert Whittaker.

Brunno Ferreira#49 of 254 active Middleweight fighters · 1707 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Dustin Stoltzfus (rated 1660 at the time): +17.
Costliest loss: Lost to Nursulton Ruziboev (rated 1673 at the time): -23.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -23 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #48 Vicente Luque, 0 ahead of #50 Donte Johnson.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Paulo CostaNow 1754 · #9 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1768

Loses by decision-18→ 1736

Brunno FerreiraNow 1707 · #49 Middleweight

Wins by decision+18→ 1725

Loses by decision-14→ 1693

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Paulo CostavsBrunno Ferreira

Takedown accuracy

50%vs0%

Takedown average

0.32vs1

Submission average

0vs0.60

Sig. strikes landed per min

6.26vs3.27

Finishing profile

Paulo CostaKO/TKO leads 75% of wins

Brunno FerreiraKO/TKO leads 60% of wins

Common opponents

Ikram AliskerovPaulo Costa: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jul 29, 2023Brunno Ferreira: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Jun 27, 2026

Marvin Vettori Paulo Costa: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Oct 23, 2021 Brunno Ferreira: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Dec 6, 2025

Ikram AliskerovPaulo Costa: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jul 29, 2023Brunno Ferreira: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jul 19, 2025

Tale of the tape

Paulo CostaBrunno Ferreira

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.26Sig. strikes landed per min3.27

UFC middleweight average : 3.94

59Sig. strike accuracy49

UFC middleweight average : 48%

6.20Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.75

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

49Sig. strike defense52

UFC middleweight average : 52%

0.32Takedown average1

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

50Takedown accuracy0

UFC middleweight average : 30%

80Takedown defense50

UFC middleweight average : 59%

0Submission average0.60

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

12Wins by knockout9

1Wins by submission5

3Wins by decision1

1Losses by knockout2

0Losses by submission1

3Losses by decision2

Paulo Costa vs Brunno Ferreira is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC 326 : HOLLOWAY VS OLIVEIRA 2. Paulo Costa enters with a 16-4-0 record and Brunno Ferreira enters with a 15-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.