Serghei Spivac vs Mario Pinto

Dec 5, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

Pick'em vs the modelWho wins this fight?Make your pick

DateDec 5, 2026

DivisionHeavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueANB Arena

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, December 5, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 AM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 2:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 3:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 1:00 AM
Your time

Serghei SpivacThe Polar Bear |18-7-0Serghei Spivac vs Mario PintoMario Pinto13-0-0

Serghei SpivacThe Polar Bear18-7-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

18-7-0Record13-0-0

31Age28

6'3"Height6'5"

78"Reach79"

256 lbsWeight265 lbs

HeavyweightWeight ClassHeavyweight

Mario Pinto13-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Mario Pinto owns a 52-point Elo edge (great). Mario Pinto shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Serghei Spivac and Mario Pinto across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Serghei SpivacMario Pinto

Recent form

Serghei SpivacL W L L W · -9 Elo last 5

LWLLW

Mario PintoW W W W W · +89 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Serghei Spivac1709-15 last move

Mario Pinto1761+17 last move

Why they are ranked here

Serghei Spivac#36 of 185 active Heavyweight fighters · 1709 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Derrick Lewis (rated 1770 at the time): +23.
Costliest loss: Lost to Tom Aspinall (rated 1678 at the time): -20.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -9 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #35 Amir Aliakbari, 0 ahead of #37 Tyrell Fortune.

Mario Pinto#18 of 185 active Heavyweight fighters · 1761 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Austen Lane (rated 1618 at the time): +23.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +89 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #17 Josh Hokit, 6 ahead of #19 Jailton Almeida.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1580 Elo over the last 10 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Serghei SpivacNow 1709 · #36 Heavyweight

Wins by decision+18→ 1727

Loses by decision-14→ 1695

Mario PintoNow 1761 · #18 Heavyweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1775

Loses by decision-18→ 1743

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Serghei SpivacvsMario Pinto

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

4.23vs1.93

Submission average

0.48vs0.95

Takedown average

3.82vs2.38

Takedown defense

64%vs100%

Finishing profile

Serghei Spivacsubmission leads 44% of wins

Mario PintoKO/TKO leads 62% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Serghei SpivacMario Pinto

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.57Sig. strikes landed per min2.85

UFC heavyweight average : 3.77

48Sig. strike accuracy70

UFC heavyweight average : 49%

4.23Sig. strikes absorbed per min1.93

UFC heavyweight average : 3.91

52Sig. strike defense58

UFC heavyweight average : 51%

3.82Takedown average2.38

UFC heavyweight average : 1.40

0Takedown accuracy0

UFC heavyweight average : 29%

64Takedown defense100

UFC heavyweight average : 53%

0.48Submission average0.95

UFC heavyweight average : 0.45

7Wins by knockout8

8Wins by submission1

3Wins by decision4

4Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

3Losses by decision0

Serghei Spivac vs Mario Pinto is a scheduled Heavyweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ADESANYA VS MAGOMEDOV. Serghei Spivac enters with a 18-7-0 record and Mario Pinto enters with a 13-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.