Serghei Spivac vs Shamil Gaziev

Nov 22, 2025 · ESPN+

DateNov 22, 2025

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueABHA Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 22, 2025 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:00 AM
Your time

Serghei SpivacThe Polar Bear |18-7-0Serghei Spivac vs Shamil GazievShamil Gaziev15-3-0

Serghei SpivacThe Polar Bear18-7-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

18-7-0Record15-3-0

31Age36

6'3"Height6'3"

78"Reach78"

256 lbsWeight261 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Shamil Gaziev15-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Shamil Gaziev owns a 20-point Elo edge (good). Serghei Spivac shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Serghei Spivac and Shamil Gaziev across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Serghei SpivacShamil Gaziev

Recent form

Serghei SpivacL W L L W · -9 Elo last 5

LWLLW

Shamil GazievW L L W W · 0 Elo last 5

WLLWW

Elo edge

Serghei Spivac1709-15 last move

Shamil Gaziev1729+18 last move

Why they are ranked here

Serghei Spivac#35 of 184 active Heavyweight fighters · 1709 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Derrick Lewis (rated 1770 at the time): +23.
Costliest loss: Lost to Tom Aspinall (rated 1678 at the time): -20.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -9 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #34 Amir Aliakbari, 0 ahead of #36 Tyrell Fortune.

Shamil Gaziev#29 of 184 active Heavyweight fighters · 1729 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Darko Stosic (rated 1644 at the time): +25.
Costliest loss: Lost to Brando Peričić (rated 1630 at the time): -25.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, 0 Elo in total.
Next places: 8 points behind #28 Rizvan Kuniev, 7 ahead of #30 Maxim Grishin.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Serghei SpivacNow 1709 · #35 Heavyweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1726

Loses by decision-15→ 1694

Shamil GazievNow 1729 · #29 Heavyweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1744

Loses by decision-17→ 1712

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Serghei SpivacvsShamil Gaziev

Takedown average

3.82vs1.06

Takedown defense

64%vs83%

Submission average

0.48vs0.26

Sig. strikes landed per min

3.57vs2.94

Finishing profile

Serghei Spivacsubmission leads 44% of wins

Shamil GazievKO/TKO leads 67% of wins

Common opponents

Waldo Cortes-Acosta Serghei Spivac: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Jun 7, 2025 Shamil Gaziev: loss · KO (punch) · Nov 22, 2025

Tale of the tape

Serghei SpivacShamil Gaziev

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.57Sig. strikes landed per min2.94

UFC heavyweight average : 3.77

48Sig. strike accuracy46

UFC heavyweight average : 49%

4.23Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.92

UFC heavyweight average : 3.92

52Sig. strike defense45

UFC heavyweight average : 51%

3.82Takedown average1.06

UFC heavyweight average : 1.40

0Takedown accuracy0

UFC heavyweight average : 30%

64Takedown defense83

UFC heavyweight average : 53%

0.48Submission average0.26

UFC heavyweight average : 0.44

7Wins by knockout10

8Wins by submission3

3Wins by decision2

4Losses by knockout3

0Losses by submission0

3Losses by decision0

Serghei Spivac vs Shamil Gaziev is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : TSARUKYAN VS HOOKER. Serghei Spivac enters with a 18-7-0 record and Shamil Gaziev enters with a 15-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.