Sergio Moraes vs Luan Chagas

May 15, 2016 · ESPN+

DateMay 15, 2016

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenueArena da Baixada

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, May 15, 2016 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Mon 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 11:00 AM
Your time

Sergio MoraesThe Panther |14-7-1Sergio Moraes vs Luan ChagasLuan ChagasTarzan |15-3-1

Sergio MoraesThe Panther14-7-1

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time05:00

14-7-1Record15-3-1

44Age33

6'0"Height5'11"

72,0"Reach75,0"

170 lbsWeight170 lbs

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Luan ChagasTarzan15-3-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Luan Chagas owns a 51-point Elo edge (good). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Sergio Moraes and Luan Chagas across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Sergio MoraesLuan Chagas

Recent form

Sergio MoraesL L L L W · -56 Elo last 5

LLLLW

Luan ChagasL W W L D · -16 Elo last 5

LWWLD

Elo edge

Sergio Moraes1641-22 last move

Luan Chagas1692-20 last move

Why they are ranked here

Sergio MoraesNot on the active ladder · 1641 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Ben Saunders (rated 1714 at the time): +17.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jared Revel (rated 1526 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -56 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1551, not 1641: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Luan ChagasNot on the active ladder · 1692 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Jim Wallhead (rated 1693 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to Erick Silva (rated 1591 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 2 losses, -16 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1602, not 1692: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Sergio MoraesNow 1641

Wins by decision+18→ 1659

Loses by decision-14→ 1627

Luan ChagasNow 1692

Wins by decision+14→ 1706

Loses by decision-18→ 1674

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Sergio MoraesvsLuan Chagas

Takedown average

1.20vs0.32

Takedown accuracy

39%vs13%

Sig. strikes landed per min

2.42vs4.16

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

3.73vs3.19

Finishing profile

Sergio Moraessubmission leads 57% of wins

Luan Chagassubmission leads 60% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Sergio MoraesLuan Chagas

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.42Sig. strikes landed per min4.16

UFC welterweight average : 3.66

43Sig. strike accuracy47

UFC welterweight average : 46%

3.73Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.19

UFC welterweight average : 3.86

60Sig. strike defense62

UFC welterweight average : 53%

1.20Takedown average0.32

UFC welterweight average : 1.41

39Takedown accuracy13

UFC welterweight average : 30%

75Takedown defense86

UFC welterweight average : 59%

0.43Submission average0.32

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

1Wins by knockout6

8Wins by submission9

5Wins by decision0

4Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission2

3Losses by decision0

Sergio Moraes vs Luan Chagas is a scheduled Welterweight fight on UFC 198 : WERDUM VS MIOCIC. Sergio Moraes enters with a 14-7-1 record and Luan Chagas enters with a 15-3-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.