Sergiusz Zając vs Salim El Ouassaidi

Oct 10, 2026 · KSW TV

Combat Edge model forecast64%Sergiusz Zając36%Salim El OuassaidiFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 10, 2026

DivisionCatchweight

StatusScheduled

VenuePodpromie Hall

BroadcastKSW TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 10, 2026 — watch on KSW TV.

US East (ET): Sat 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:00 AM
Your time

Sergiusz Zając9-2-0Sergiusz Zając vs Salim El OuassaidiSalim El OuassaidiBizon |12-4-0

Sergiusz Zając9-2-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

9-2-0Record12-4-0

28AgeTBD

6'4"Height5'10"

-Reach-

206 lbsWeight214 lbs

CatchweightWeight ClassCatchweight

Salim El OuassaidiBizon12-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Sergiusz Zając owns a 26-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Sergiusz Zając and Salim El Ouassaidi across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Sergiusz ZającSalim El Ouassaidi

Recent form

Sergiusz ZającL W W W W · +67 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Salim El OuassaidiW L W L W · +7 Elo last 5

WLWLW

Elo edge

Sergiusz Zając1663-22 last move

Salim El Ouassaidi1637+23 last move

Why they are ranked here

Sergiusz Zając#56 of 162 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1663 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Paweł Całkowski (rated 1500 at the time): +31.
Costliest loss: Lost to Damian Piwowarczyk (rated 1632 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +67 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #55 Paul Craig, 6 ahead of #57 Shamil Gamzatov.

Salim El Ouassaidi#79 of 174 active Heavyweight fighters · 1637 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Antonio Silva (rated 1601 at the time): +24.
Costliest loss: Lost to Pavel Dailidko (rated 1458 at the time): -42.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +7 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #78 Michał Andryszak, 2 ahead of #80 Guilherme Uriel.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

64%Sergiusz Zając36%Salim El Ouassaidi

Model favoriteSergiusz Zając

Elo baseline54% for Sergiusz Zając

Matchup adjustment+10 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Sergiusz ZającStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Sergiusz Zając leads the full model at 64%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 10 points.

Current Elo ratings1663 · 1637Sergiusz Zając leads by 26 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1526 · 1528Salim El Ouassaidi faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth11 · 16 fightsSalim El Ouassaidi has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Sergiusz ZającNow 1663 · #56 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1678

Loses by decision-17→ 1646

Salim El OuassaidiNow 1637 · #79 Heavyweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1654

Loses by decision-15→ 1622

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Sergiusz ZającvsSalim El Ouassaidi

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Sergiusz ZającKO/TKO leads 89% of wins

Salim El OuassaidiKO/TKO leads 67% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Sergiusz ZającSalim El Ouassaidi

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 4.00

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 3.73

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 51%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 1.37

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 26%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 58%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59

8Wins by knockout8

0Wins by submission2

1Wins by decision2

1Losses by knockout2

1Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision2

Sergiusz Zając vs Salim El Ouassaidi is a scheduled Catchweight fight on KSW 122 : YAKYMENKO VS MORELLI. Sergiusz Zając enters with a 9-2-0 record and Salim El Ouassaidi enters with a 12-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.