vs Marcello Morelli

DateOct 10, 2026

DivisionKSW Bantamweight Championship

StatusScheduled

VenuePodpromie Hall

BroadcastKSW TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 10, 2026 — watch on KSW TV.

US East (ET): Sat 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:00 AM
Your time

Vitaliy Yakimenko11-2-0 vs Marcello MorelliMarcello MorelliEl Diablo |8-4-0

Vitaliy Yakimenko11-2-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

11-2-0Record8-4-0

30Age28

5'5"Height5'8"

66.5"Reach-

135 lbsWeight135 lbs

KSW Bantamweight ChampionshipWeight ClassKSW Bantamweight Championship

Marcello MorelliEl Diablo8-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Vitaliy Yakimenko owns a 98-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Vitaliy Yakimenko and Marcello Morelli across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Vitaliy YakimenkoMarcello Morelli

Recent form

Vitaliy YakimenkoW W L W W · +43 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Marcello MorelliW W L W W · +40 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Elo edge

Vitaliy Yakimenko1682+9 last move

Marcello Morelli1584+11 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

62%Vitaliy Yakimenko38%Marcello Morelli

Model favoriteVitaliy Yakimenko

Elo baseline64% for Vitaliy Yakimenko

Matchup adjustment-2 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Vitaliy YakimenkoStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Vitaliy Yakimenko leads the full model at 62%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 2 points.

Current Elo ratings1682 · 1584Vitaliy Yakimenko leads by 98 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1531 · 1502Vitaliy Yakimenko faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth13 · 12 fightsVitaliy Yakimenko has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Vitaliy YakimenkovsMarcello Morelli

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Vitaliy YakimenkoKO/TKO leads 36% of wins

Marcello MorelliKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

Sebastian PrzybyszVitaliy Yakimenko: win · Decision (Split) · Feb 21, 2026Marcello Morelli: loss · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Jun 14, 2025

Tale of the tape

Vitaliy YakimenkoMarcello Morelli

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.70

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 28%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

4Wins by knockout4

4Wins by submission1

3Wins by decision3

1Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission2

1Losses by decision2

vs Marcello Morelli is a scheduled KSW Bantamweight Championship fight on KSW 122 RZESZOW : YAKYMENKO VS MORELLI. Vitaliy Yakimenko enters with a 11-2-0 record and Marcello Morelli enters with a 8-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.