Seth Baczynski vs Leon Edwards

Apr 11, 2015 · ESPN+

DateApr 11, 2015

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenueTauron Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, April 11, 2015 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 10:45 AM
US West (PT): Sat 7:45 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 3:45 PM
Central Europe: Sat 4:45 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 12:45 AM
Your time

Seth BaczynskiThe Polish Pistola |21-16-0Seth Baczynski vs Leon EdwardsLeon EdwardsRocky |22-6-0

Seth BaczynskiThe Polish Pistola21-16-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

21-16-0Record22-6-0

44Age35

6'3"Height6'0"

TBDReach74"

185 lbsWeight170 lbs

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Leon EdwardsRocky22-6-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Leon Edwards owns a 242-point Elo edge (great). Leon Edwards shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Seth Baczynski and Leon Edwards across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Seth BaczynskiLeon Edwards

Recent form

Seth BaczynskiL L L L W · -45 Elo last 5

LLLLW

Leon EdwardsL L L W W · -23 Elo last 5

LLLWW

Elo edge

Seth Baczynski1554-12 last move

Leon Edwards1796-17 last move

Why they are ranked here

Seth BaczynskiNot on the active ladder · 1554 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Marvin Babe (rated 1448 at the time): +9.
Costliest loss: Lost to Alan Jouban (rated 1542 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -45 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1464, not 1554: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Leon Edwards#11 of 356 active Welterweight fighters · 1796 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Kamaru Usman (rated 1864 at the time): +23.
Costliest loss: Lost to Carlos Prates (rated 1745 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -23 Elo in total.
Next places: 9 points behind #10 Belal Muhammad, 8 ahead of #12 Carlos Prates.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Seth BaczynskiNow 1554

Wins by decision+19→ 1573

Loses by decision-5→ 1549

Leon EdwardsNow 1796 · #11 Welterweight

Wins by decision+5→ 1801

Loses by decision-19→ 1777

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Seth BaczynskivsLeon Edwards

Takedown accuracy

17%vs36%

Sig. strike accuracy

32%vs54%

Submission average

0.75vs0.36

Takedown defense

48%vs64%

Finishing profile

Seth Baczynskisubmission leads 52% of wins

Leon Edwardsdecision leads 55% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Seth BaczynskiLeon Edwards

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.08Sig. strikes landed per min2.62

UFC middleweight average : 3.94

32Sig. strike accuracy54

UFC middleweight average : 48%

3.14Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.42

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

51Sig. strike defense53

UFC middleweight average : 52%

0.89Takedown average1.18

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

17Takedown accuracy36

UFC middleweight average : 30%

48Takedown defense64

UFC middleweight average : 59%

0.75Submission average0.36

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

8Wins by knockout7

11Wins by submission3

2Wins by decision12

5Losses by knockout1

5Losses by submission1

6Losses by decision3

Seth Baczynski vs Leon Edwards is a scheduled Welterweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : GONZAGA VS CRO COP 2. Seth Baczynski enters with a 21-16-0 record and Leon Edwards enters with a 22-6-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.