Combat Edge Model · Full card

Cage Warriors 211: Bellandi vs Pereira predictions

Model win probabilities for every bout on Cage Warriors 211: Bellandi vs Pereira (October 17, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.

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11Total bouts

11Frozen forecasts

4Close matchups

2Model / Elo splits

1Strong model leans

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11 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.

Middleweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Dario Bellandi10-2-0

Aldo Pereira13-12-2

Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Dario Bellandi won

71%Dario Bellandi29%Aldo Pereira

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 69% / 32%

featherweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo10-1-0

Alexis Tsarmantidis7-3-0

Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo won

60%Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo40%Alexis Tsarmantidis

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 56% / 44%

Bantamweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Enrico Di Gangi7-4-0

Tommy Brunning3-4-0

Close matchupModel / Elo splitModel miss · Enrico Di Gangi won

49.3%Enrico Di Gangi50.7%Tommy Brunning

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 59% / 41%

Bantamweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Federico Rotoni1-0-0

Andrei Gabura0-1-0

Close matchup50/50 baselineModel miss · Federico Rotoni won

49.1%Federico Rotoni50.9%Andrei Gabura

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

featherweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Alessandro Ortolani3-3-0

Simone Ali1-0-0

Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Simone Ali won

57%Alessandro Ortolani44%Simone Ali

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 55% / 45%

Bantamweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Salvatore Bellotta4-2-0

Christian Tosco2-1-0

Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Christian Tosco won

60%Salvatore Bellotta40%Christian Tosco

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 60% / 40%

Bantamweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Angelo Coppola0-0-1

Jonathan David Rivera3-0-1

Model leanModel + Elo agree

31%Angelo Coppola69%Jonathan David Rivera

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 40% / 60%

flyweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Gabriele Lionetti2-2-0

Elez Guri2-1-0

Close matchupModel / Elo splitModel hit · Elez Guri won

49.8%Gabriele Lionetti50.2%Elez Guri

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 53% / 47%

lightweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Niko Ceraglia4-1-0

Valentino Greco1-3-0

Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Niko Ceraglia won

63%Niko Ceraglia37%Valentino Greco

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 61% / 39%

bantamweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Ruben Vinci1-1-0

Jurgen Koci2-0-0

Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Jurgen Koci won

65%Ruben Vinci35%Jurgen Koci

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 53% / 47%

flyweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Kevin Caperna2-4-0

Diego Giangirolami2-2-0

Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Diego Giangirolami won

50.9%Kevin Caperna49.1%Diego Giangirolami

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50.7% / 49.3%