Cynthia Calvillo vs Carla Esparza

Dec 30, 2017 · ESPN+

DateDec 30, 2017

DivisionWomen's Strawweight

StatusScheduled

VenueT-Mobile Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, December 30, 2017 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 1:30 PM
US West (PT): Sat 10:30 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:30 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:30 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:30 AM
Your time

Cynthia Calvillo10-6-1Cynthia Calvillo vs Carla EsparzaCarla EsparzaCookie Monster |19-8-0

Cynthia Calvillo10-6-1

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

10-6-1Record19-8-0

39Age38

5'4"Height5'1"

64"Reach63"

119 lbsWeight115 lbs

Women's StrawweightWeight ClassWomen's Strawweight

Carla EsparzaCookie Monster19-8-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Carla Esparza owns a 69-point Elo edge (good). Cynthia Calvillo shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Cynthia Calvillo and Carla Esparza across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Cynthia CalvilloCarla Esparza

Recent form

Cynthia CalvilloW L L L L · -45 Elo last 5

WLLLL

Carla EsparzaL L W W W · +23 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Elo edge

Cynthia Calvillo1588+18 last move

Carla Esparza1657-18 last move

Why they are ranked here

Cynthia CalvilloNot on the active ladder · 1588 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Lisa Kyriacou (rated 1604 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Andrea Lee (rated 1645 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -45 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1567, not 1588: 21 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Carla EsparzaNot on the active ladder · 1657 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Xiaonan Yan (rated 1758 at the time): +25.
Costliest loss: Lost to Tecia Pennington (rated 1641 at the time): -18.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +23 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1639, not 1657: 18 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Cynthia CalvilloNow 1588

Wins by decision+19→ 1607

Loses by decision-13→ 1575

Carla EsparzaNow 1657

Wins by decision+13→ 1670

Loses by decision-19→ 1638

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Cynthia CalvillovsCarla Esparza

Submission average

0.81vs0.27

Sig. strikes landed per min

4.41vs2.19

Takedown average

1.80vs3.28

Takedown defense

78%vs47%

Finishing profile

Cynthia Calvillodecision leads 50% of wins

Carla Esparzadecision leads 58% of wins

Common opponents

Marina RodriguezCynthia Calvillo: draw · Draw (majority) · Dec 7, 2019Carla Esparza: win · Decision (Split) · Jul 25, 2020

Marina RodriguezCynthia Calvillo: draw · Draw (majority) · Dec 7, 2019Carla Esparza: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jul 15, 2020

Livinha SouzaCynthia Calvillo: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jul 13, 2019Carla Esparza: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Apr 27, 2019

Tale of the tape

Cynthia CalvilloCarla Esparza

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.41Sig. strikes landed per min2.19

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

38Sig. strike accuracy39

UFC flyweight average : 44%

4.12Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.87

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

64Sig. strike defense54

UFC flyweight average : 55%

1.80Takedown average3.28

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

44Takedown accuracy36

UFC flyweight average : 26%

78Takedown defense47

UFC flyweight average : 57%

0.81Submission average0.27

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

2Wins by knockout4

3Wins by submission4

5Wins by decision11

2Losses by knockout2

0Losses by submission2

4Losses by decision4

Cynthia Calvillo vs Carla Esparza is a scheduled Women's Strawweight fight on UFC 219 : CYBORG VS HOLM. Cynthia Calvillo enters with a 10-6-1 record and Carla Esparza enters with a 19-8-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.