Recent form
Diyar Nurgozhay W L L W W · +8 Elo last 5
W L L W W
Rafael Tobias L W W W W · +22 Elo last 5
L W W W W
UFC 326 : HOLLOWAY VS OLIVEIRA 2
Event UFC 326 : HOLLOWAY VS OLIVEIRA 2
Date Mar 7, 2026
Division Fight
Status Scheduled
Venue T-MOBILE ARENA
Broadcast PARAMOUNT+
Diyar Nurgozhay vs Rafael Tobias is a scheduled Fight fight on UFC 326 : HOLLOWAY VS OLIVEIRA 2. Diyar Nurgozhay enters with a 11-2-0 record and Rafael Tobias enters with a 14-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.
Elo1682Good
3Y trend1697 → 1682
Fight Overview
Round3
Time5:00
11-2-0 Record 14-2-0
29 Age 23
6'2" Height 6'2"
74" Reach 74"
205 lbs Weight 205 lbs
Fight Weight Class Fight
Elo1676Good
3Y trend1652 → 1676
Combat Edge Intelligence
Fight Intelligence
Diyar Nurgozhay owns a 6-point Elo edge (good). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.
Elo edge
Diyar Nurgozhay 1682 +17 last move
Rafael Tobias 1676 -17 last move
Stat advantages
Takedown defense
100% vs 0%
Submission average
0 vs 3.98
Sig. strike accuracy
50% vs 31%
Takedown average
2.54 vs 3.98
Finishing profile
Diyar Nurgozhay KO/TKO leads 55% of wins
Rafael Tobias submission leads 43% of wins
Common opponents
No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.