UFC 326 : HOLLOWAY VS OLIVEIRA 2

Event UFC 326 : HOLLOWAY VS OLIVEIRA 2
Date Mar 7, 2026
Division Fight
Status Scheduled
Venue T-MOBILE ARENA
Broadcast PARAMOUNT+

Diyar Nurgozhay vs Rafael Tobias is a scheduled Fight fight on UFC 326 : HOLLOWAY VS OLIVEIRA 2. Diyar Nurgozhay enters with a 11-2-0 record and Rafael Tobias enters with a 14-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Diyar Nurgozhay 11-2-0 Diyar Nurgozhay vs Rafael Tobias Rafael Tobias Bipolar | 14-2-0
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟDiyar Nurgozhay 11-2-0 Diyar Nurgozhay ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ

Fight Overview

Round3
Time5:00
11-2-0 Record 14-2-0
29 Age 23
6'2" Height 6'2"
74" Reach 74"
205 lbs Weight 205 lbs
Fight Weight Class Fight
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ทRafael Tobias Bipolar 14-2-0 ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท Rafael Tobias
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Diyar Nurgozhay owns a 6-point Elo edge (good). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Recent form

Diyar Nurgozhay W L L W W ยท +8 Elo last 5
W L L W W
Rafael Tobias L W W W W ยท +22 Elo last 5
L W W W W

Elo edge

Diyar Nurgozhay 1682 +17 last move
Rafael Tobias 1676 -17 last move

Stat advantages

Takedown defense
100% vs 0%
Submission average
0 vs 3.98
Sig. strike accuracy
50% vs 31%
Takedown average
2.54 vs 3.98

Finishing profile

Diyar Nurgozhay KO/TKO leads 55% of wins
Rafael Tobias submission leads 43% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Diyar Nurgozhay Rafael Tobias
3.04 Sig. strikes landed per min 3.45
Division Average : 4.46
50 Sig. strike accuracy 31
Division Average : 48
2.99 Sig. strikes absorbed per min 3.98
Division Average : 4.20
61 Sig. strike defense 40
Division Average : 54
2.54 Takedown average 3.98
Division Average : 1.66
100 Takedown accuracy 100
Division Average : 36
100 Takedown defense 0
Division Average : 64
0 Submission average 3.98
Division Average : 0.48
6 Wins by knockout 5
2 Wins by submission 6
3 Wins by decision 3
0 Losses by knockout 1
2 Losses by submission 0
0 Losses by decision 1