CAGE WARRIORS 211 ROME : BELLANDI VS VALENTE

Jonathan Rivera vs Amer Salameh

DateOct 17, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenuePalapellicone

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 17, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Sat 12:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 9:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 5:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 6:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 3:00 AM
Your time

Jonathan Rivera3-0-0Jonathan Rivera vs Amer SalamehAmer Salameh1-1-0

Jonathan Rivera3-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

3-0-0Record1-1-0

35AgeTBD

5'11"HeightTBD

TBDReachTBD

170 lbsWeight145 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Amer Salameh1-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Jonathan Rivera owns a 79-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Jonathan Rivera and Amer Salameh across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Jonathan RiveraAmer Salameh

Recent form

Jonathan RiveraW W L W W · +63 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Amer SalamehW L · +7 Elo last 2

Elo edge

Jonathan Rivera1586+14 last move

Amer Salameh1507+31 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

51%Jonathan Rivera49%Amer Salameh

Model favoriteJonathan Rivera

Elo baseline61% for Jonathan Rivera

Matchup adjustment-10 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Jonathan RiveraStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Jonathan Rivera leads the full model at 51%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 10 points.

Current Elo ratings1586 · 1507Jonathan Rivera leads by 79 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1508 · 1500Jonathan Rivera faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 2 sampled fights).

Elo record depth11 · 2 fightsJonathan Rivera has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Jonathan RiveravsAmer Salameh

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Jonathan Riverasubmission leads 133% of wins

Amer SalamehKO/TKO leads 100% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Jonathan RiveraAmer Salameh

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.03Sig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC welterweight average : 3.67

40Sig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC welterweight average : 46%

3.90Sig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC welterweight average : 3.83

60Sig. strike defenseNot available

UFC welterweight average : 53%

0.88Takedown averageNot available

UFC welterweight average : 1.33

28Takedown accuracyNot available

UFC welterweight average : 31%

93Takedown defenseNot available

UFC welterweight average : 59%

0.11Submission averageNot available

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

3Wins by knockout1

4Wins by submission0

1Wins by decision0

2Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision1

Jonathan Rivera vs Amer Salameh is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on CAGE WARRIORS 211 ROME : BELLANDI VS VALENTE. Jonathan Rivera enters with a 3-0-0 record and Amer Salameh enters with a 1-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.