CAGE WARRIORS 211 ROME : BELLANDI VS VALENTE

Pietro Mochetti vs Tommy Brunning

DateOct 17, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenuePalapellicone

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 17, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Sat 12:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 9:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 5:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 6:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 3:00 AM
Your time

Pietro MochettiThe Italian Stallion |5-3-0Pietro Mochetti vs Tommy BrunningTommy BrunningBig Tings |2-3-0

Pietro MochettiThe Italian Stallion5-3-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

5-3-0Record2-3-0

TBDAge29

5'8"Height5'6"

-ReachTBD

136 lbsWeight136 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Tommy BrunningBig Tings2-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Pietro Mochetti owns a 65-point Elo edge (average). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Pietro Mochetti and Tommy Brunning across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Pietro MochettiTommy Brunning

Recent form

Pietro MochettiL W W W L · +29 Elo last 5

LWWWL

Tommy BrunningW L L L W · -18 Elo last 5

WLLLW

Elo edge

Pietro Mochetti1547-23 last move

Tommy Brunning1482+33 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

57%Pietro Mochetti43%Tommy Brunning

Model favoritePietro Mochetti

Elo baseline59% for Pietro Mochetti

Matchup adjustment-2 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Pietro MochettiStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Pietro Mochetti leads the full model at 57%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 3 points.

Current Elo ratings1547 · 1482Pietro Mochetti leads by 65 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1527 · 1505Pietro Mochetti faced the stronger recent schedule (8 vs 5 sampled fights).

Elo record depth8 · 5 fightsPietro Mochetti has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Pietro MochettivsTommy Brunning

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Pietro Mochettidecision leads 80% of wins

Tommy BrunningKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Pietro MochettiTommy Brunning

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.70

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.76

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 28%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

0Wins by knockout1

1Wins by submission1

4Wins by decision0

2Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission2

1Losses by decision1

Pietro Mochetti vs Tommy Brunning is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on CAGE WARRIORS 211 ROME : BELLANDI VS VALENTE. Pietro Mochetti enters with a 5-3-0 record and Tommy Brunning enters with a 2-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.