CAGE WARRIORS 211 ROME : BELLANDI VS VALENTE

Danilo Belluardo vs Andrea Kabali

DateOct 17, 2026

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenuePalapellicone

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 17, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Sat 12:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 9:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 5:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 6:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 3:00 AM
Your time

Danilo BelluardoCaterpillar |13-7-0Danilo Belluardo vs Andrea KabaliAndrea Kabali4-1-0

Danilo BelluardoCaterpillar13-7-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

13-7-0Record4-1-0

32AgeTBD

5'11"Height6'2"

74,5"Reach-

155 lbsWeight169 lbs

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Andrea Kabali4-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Andrea Kabali owns a 3-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Danilo Belluardo and Andrea Kabali across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Danilo BelluardoAndrea Kabali

Recent form

Danilo BelluardoW L L L L · -65 Elo last 5

WLLLL

Andrea KabaliL W W W W · +60 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Elo edge

Danilo Belluardo1558+13 last move

Andrea Kabali1561-36 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

45%Danilo Belluardo55%Andrea Kabali

Model favoriteAndrea Kabali

Elo baseline50% for Andrea Kabali

Matchup adjustment+5 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Andrea KabaliStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Andrea Kabali leads the full model at 55%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 4 points.

Current Elo ratings1558 · 1561Andrea Kabali leads by 3 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1521 · 1499Danilo Belluardo faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 5 sampled fights).

Elo record depth20 · 5 fightsDanilo Belluardo has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Danilo BelluardovsAndrea Kabali

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Danilo BelluardoKO/TKO leads 54% of wins

Andrea KabaliKO/TKO leads 75% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Danilo BelluardoAndrea Kabali

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.52Sig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

62Sig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

4.79Sig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

41Sig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

3.50Takedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.69

100Takedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 29%

50Takedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 59%

0Submission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

7Wins by knockout3

3Wins by submission0

3Wins by decision1

6Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission1

0Losses by decision0

Danilo Belluardo vs Andrea Kabali is a scheduled Welterweight fight on CAGE WARRIORS 211 ROME : BELLANDI VS VALENTE. Danilo Belluardo enters with a 13-7-0 record and Andrea Kabali enters with a 4-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.