CAGE WARRIORS 211 ROME : BELLANDI VS VALENTE

Simone Patrizi vs Dylan Logan

DateOct 17, 2026

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenuePalapellicone

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 17, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Sat 12:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 9:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 5:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 6:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 3:00 AM
Your time

Simone PatriziThe White Shark |7-6-0Simone Patrizi vs Dylan LoganDylan Logan5-5-0

Simone PatriziThe White Shark7-6-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

7-6-0Record5-5-0

32AgeTBD

5'8"Height6'0"

TBDReachTBD

155 lbsWeight145 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Dylan Logan5-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Simone Patrizi owns a 5-point Elo edge (average). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Simone Patrizi and Dylan Logan across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Simone PatriziDylan Logan

Recent form

Simone PatriziL L L L W · -69 Elo last 5

LLLLW

Dylan LoganL W L W W · +26 Elo last 5

LWLWW

Elo edge

Simone Patrizi1507-15 last move

Dylan Logan1502-25 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

49%Simone Patrizi51%Dylan Logan

Model favoriteDylan Logan

Elo baseline49% for Dylan Logan

Matchup adjustment+2 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Dylan LoganStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Dylan Logan is 51%, after Elo alone favored Simone Patrizi at 51%.

Current Elo ratings1507 · 1502Simone Patrizi leads by 5 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1500 · 1496Simone Patrizi faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth13 · 10 fightsSimone Patrizi has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Simone PatrizivsDylan Logan

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Simone PatriziKO/TKO leads 57% of wins

Dylan Logansubmission leads 100% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Simone PatriziDylan Logan

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.69

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

4Wins by knockout0

1Wins by submission5

2Wins by decision0

2Losses by knockout3

1Losses by submission2

3Losses by decision0

Simone Patrizi vs Dylan Logan is a scheduled Lightweight fight on CAGE WARRIORS 211 ROME : BELLANDI VS VALENTE. Simone Patrizi enters with a 7-6-0 record and Dylan Logan enters with a 5-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.